Prince of Wales Stakes

Win Stats:

Age: 4-5 = 95%

Days: 20+ = 90%

LTO: 1-3 = 85%

Distance: 10f – 12f = 100% 10f = 85%

Runs: 1-3 = 90%

Group: 1-3 = 100%

OR: S.D 117+ Mean 121+

Significant Stats:

OR 117+ High 122+

Winner analysis:

Four horses meet the OR stat and it’s those four I will focus on. Last years winner, Lord North (9/4) has the best general profile and meets the high stat as well and needs to be on the shortlist. My only minor concern would be if the ground really firmed up, other than that he looks solid. Love (13/8) has been backed over the last week and she boasts the strongest form in the field, she also gets the sex allowance which makes her the highest rated horse in the field. Two general negatives against her is the lack of a recent run and that she has never won over 10f, albeit she has never tried. Armory (7/2) won easily at Chester LTO, however I’m not convinced that form is strong, he does have a good profile though. Lastly, Audarya (16/1) has an OR of 117, but just like Love lacks a recent run and I suspect she will find one of the others mentioned too strong for her.    

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