Champion Bumper
Win Stats:
Age: 5-6 = 100%
Bred: IRE, GB = 91%
Career Bumper Runs: 1-4 = 100% 2-3 = 82%
Season Runs: 1-3 = 91%
Days: 21+ = 91%
LTO: 1st = 100%
OR: S.D = 122+ Mean = 129+
RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 131+
Significant Stats:
RPR 127+
Age 5-6
CBR 2-3
Positive correlation between Pos - RPR (127) and CBR (2-3)
Winner analysis:
I must stress to check the ORs once decs are made as they do alter.
Three sig stats and a correlation and just three horses meet all of them. A Dream to Share (7/2) is one of them and has the best profile. I must admit I wasn't overly keen on him after his last run, as I thought the race was run to suit for what is essentially a flat bred horse. On breeding the fav he should be competing in graded flat races so whether a flat out bumper over 2 miles in soft conditions will suit is open to debate. Another horse that meets all the sig stats is Fact to File (10/1) and at the price looks to be a decent EW bet. The final horse to meet them all is Fun Fun Fun (9/1), however I'd suggest waiting to see if she is declared and who is jocked up before deciding to back.
Western Diego (14/1) posted an impressive RPR (130) on debut and meets two of the stats so is worth considering, and the same applies to Its For Me (9/2) who also meets the RPR sig stat having posted 128 on debut.
Comments
Post a Comment