Champion Bumper

Win Stats:

Age: 5-6 = 100%

Bred: IRE, GB = 91%

Career Bumper Runs: 1-4 = 100% 2-3 = 82%

Season Runs: 1-3 = 91%

Days: 21+ = 91%

LTO: 1st = 100%

OR: S.D = 122+ Mean = 129+

RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 131+

Significant Stats:

RPR 127+

Age 5-6

CBR 2-3

Positive correlation between Pos - RPR (127) and CBR (2-3)

Winner analysis:

I must stress to check the ORs once decs are made as they do alter. 

Three sig stats and a correlation and just three horses meet all of them. A Dream to Share (7/2) is one of them and has the best profile. I must admit I wasn't overly keen on him after his last run, as I thought the race was run to suit for what is essentially a flat bred horse. On breeding the fav he should be competing in graded flat races so whether a flat out bumper over 2 miles in soft conditions will suit is open to debate. Another horse that meets all the sig stats is Fact to File (10/1) and at the price looks to be a decent EW bet. The final horse to meet them all is Fun Fun Fun (9/1), however I'd suggest waiting to see if she is declared and who is jocked up before deciding to back.

Western Diego (14/1) posted an impressive RPR (130) on debut and meets two of the stats so is worth considering, and the same applies to Its For Me (9/2) who also meets the RPR sig stat having posted 128 on debut. 


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Ultima Handicap Chase

Michael O'Sullivan Supreme Novices' Hurdle

Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle