Significant Horse Racing Stats

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 97% 6-8 = 89% Bred: IRE, FR = 92% Runs: 3-6 = 94% LTO: 1-4 = 94% Distance: = 92% Days: 20+ = 97% Grade LTO: 1-3 = 85% Chase wins: 1-3 = 89% Left handed win: = 93% OR: S.D = 146+ Mean = 151+ HOR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 147+ Season RPR: S.D = 151+ Mean = 156+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Banbridge (7/2) has the best EW profile away from the fav closely followed by Stage Star (11/1). Banbridge stayed on well over 2 miles last time and also has Festival form which is always a positive. Win Stats: Age: 6-7 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR = 92% Runs: 2-5 = 100%  LTO: 1-2 = 92% Days: 20+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Festival Experience: = 100% Chase wins: 1-4 = 100% Grade LTO: 1-3 = 89% Left handed win: = 100% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 151+ HOR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 150+ Season RPR: S.D = 153+ Mean = 157+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-7 FR 7-8 IRE Significant Stats: Previous festival experience Runs 2-5 Course minor positive  Winner analysis: Banbridge. Stage Star and Appreciate...

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB = 91% Career Bumper Runs: 1-4 = 100% 2-3 = 82% Season Runs: 1-3 = 91% Days: 21+ = 91% LTO: 1st = 100% OR: S.D = 122+ Mean = 129+ RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 131+ Significant Stats: RPR 127+ Age 5-6 CBR 2-3 Positive correlation between Pos - RPR (127) and CBR (2-3) Winner analysis: I must stress to check the ORs once decs are made as they do alter.  Three sig stats and a correlation and just three horses meet all of them. A Dream to Share (7/2) is one of them and has the best profile. I must admit I wasn't overly keen on him after his last run, as I thought the race was run to suit for what is essentially a flat bred horse. On breeding the fav he should be competing in graded flat races so whether a flat out bumper over 2 miles in soft conditions will suit is open to debate. Another horse that meets all the sig stats is Fact to File (10/1) and at the price looks to be a decent EW bet. The final horse to meet them all is Fun Fun Fun (9/1), however ...

EW Stats: Age: 6-11 = 98% Bred: IRE, FR, GB, GER = 98% LTO: 1-4 = 82% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 88% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 97% OR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 166+ Season RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 168+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-11 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Blue Lord (10/1), Gentleman De Mee (8/1), and Editeur De Gite (6/1) all have good looking EW profiles. If the ground comes up soft I wouldn't fancy GDM, however it would suit the other two. Happy to wait until the day to look again.  Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-4 = 90% LTO: 1-5 = 95% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 100% Chase wins season: 1-4 = 95% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100% OR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 169+ Season RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 170+ Significant Stats: OR 163+ High 170+ Grade 1 Season RPR 165+ High 170+ Grade LTO 1-2 Correlation between position, OR (170), Grade 1, SRPR (170), grade LTO (1) Winner analysis: Edwardstone (7/4) and last years winner Energumene (2/1) meet all four sig stats and...

EW Stats: Age: 6-8 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 97% LTO: 1-3 = 90% Grade: 1-3 = 86% Days: 20+ = 100% Chase wins: 1-3 = 91% OR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 149+ HOR: S.D. = 133+ Mean = 144+ Season RPR: S.D = 151+ Mean = 157+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Some solid stats which stand up well to help narrow down the field. The Real Whacker (9/2) and the mare, Galia Des Liteaux (10/1) come out well and I've backed the mare NRNB with the ground looking likely to be on the softer side now.    Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 7-8 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE = 80% Runs: 2-5 = 100% 3-5 = 90% LTO: 1-2 = 90% Grade: 1-listed = 100% Days: 20+ = 100% 20-59 = 85% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 91% Chase wins: 1-4 = 91% OR: S.D = 145+ Mean = 151+ RPR: S.D = 153+ Mean = 159+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-8 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Having backed Gerri Colombe for any race at the start of the season I'm going into this in a good position. GC (13/8...

EW Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100%  Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 97% Runs: 2-6 = 97%  LTO: 1-2 = 92% Days: 21+ = 95% Hurdle wins: 1-4 = 100% Left handed win: = 91% Grade LTO: 1 - listed = 88% OR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 146+ RPR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 149+ RPR Race: S.D. = 146+ Mean = 152+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 5-7 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Some strong stats appearing in the Ballymore which helps narrow down the field considerably. Gaelic Warrior (11/2) has a strong profile and providing his tendency to jump to the right doesn't hinder him too much, he should go well. Champ Kiely (9/1) also has a good looking profile and is proven over the trip which is another positive, whether he will be quite good enough remains to be seen but should run his race. Finally, Inthepocket (16/1) has a similar stats profile to the other two horses mentioned and is worth considering EW. Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Runs: 2-6 = 95% 2-4 = 85% Days: 21+ = 95% LTO: 1-2 = 95% Hurdle wins: 2-3 = 91% Lef...

EW Stats: Age: 7-10 = 91% Bred: IRE/FR = 88% Runs since Sept: 2-7 = 100% Days: 21+ = 94% Starting price: 12s or under OR: S.D. = 140+ Mean = 146+ Season RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+ Cross Tab Age/Bred: FR 6-8 IRE 6-10 EW Analysis : There could be some EW value to be had in the regular market and the without GDM market so check both. Churchstonewarrior (7/1), Chemical Energy (7/1), and Minella Crooner (9/1) have the best profiles. Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 91% Runs since Sept: 2-5 = 100% Days: 21+ = 100% Won over 24f+ = 82% Starting price: 16s or under OR: S.D. = 143+ Mean = 148+ Season RPR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 149+ Significant Stats: Days 40+ OR 143+ High 148+ Winner analysis: A couple of strong sig stats to focus on and Chemical Energy meets both and I've backed EW ante post. The fav GDM (6/5) is one of my bigger ante post winners and he is the only horse that meets the high OR sig stat. Best of the rest on general profiles are Churchstonewarrior and Mahler Mission (6/1).  Just a note o...

EW Stats: Age: 6-9 – 91% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-5 = 94% LTO: 1-3 = 86% Days: 20+ = 92% Distance: 20/21f = 89% Grade: 1-listed = 86% OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 147+ RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 149+ EW Analysis : A race to confirm OR’s when decs are out. If last years winner, Marie's Rock (10/3) turns up here rather than the stayers then EW bets may look different. Love Envoi (15/2) and Epatante (4/1) have excellent profiles. I've backed Epatante ante post.  Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-5 = 100% Days: 20+ = 92% LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1st = 83% Grade: 1-listed = 100% Distance: 20/21f = 100% OR: S.D = 145+ Mean = 153+ RPR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 154+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: OR 143+  RPR 145+  Grade 1-3 Positive correlation between position, OR (153+), RPR (154+), runs 0-5 Winner analysis: This looks a cracking race, especially if MR turns up here as well. Epatante has the best profile and meets all three sig stats and the...