Posts

Royal Ascot Day 5

2:30 – 3 sig stats. Treamour (13/8), M O Joy (15/8), V Lace (14/1), and Humidity (11/2) meet all three. 3:05 - 1 sig stat. R Romance (5/2), A Riffa  (5/1) and Ghostwriter (13/2) meet it.  3:40 - No sig stats. Best general profiles are Topgear (17/2), and Inisherin (5/1). 4:20 - 2 sig stats. Benevento (18/1) is the only horse to meet it. C Dreamer (7/1) has a strong general profile. 5:00 - No sig stats. City House (22/1), Jarraf (8/1), Purosangue (12/1), Desert Cop (33/1), Cover Up (40/1), Aramram (7/1), W N Stop (66/1), M Thunder (4/1), G Mind (25/1), C Random (20/1), W Wonder (16/1), and H Bay (20/1) have the best general profiles.

Royal Ascot Day 4

2:30 – No sig stats. Balantina (16/1), V Sun (7/1), I Queen (11/1) and I Dawn (40/1) have the best general profiles. 3:05 - 3 sig stats. S O Light (2/1), and Babouche (5/1) are the only horses to meet all three.   3:40 - 2 sig stats. Zarigana (5/2), Exactly (12/1), Simmering (40/1) and D First (66/1) meet both.  4:20 - 1 sig stat. (Draw 10+) S O Troy (18/1), and Almoshher (5/1) meet the sig stat and the generals. 5:00 - 1 sig stat. M Nightfall (6/1), Supermodel (8/1), and Zgharta (14/1)meet it and  have the best general profiles. 5:40 – 1 sig stat. Amiloc (2/1) and W Hawkeye (14/1) meet it.

Royal Ascot Day 3

2:30 - 1 sig stat.  C Darwin (4/5), H T Blue (33/1), Ameeq (80/1), L Brother (80/1), Exclamation (100/1) and I Fighter (100/1) meet it.       3:05 – No sig stats. S U Song (9/2), Merchant (5/2), O Man (25/1), Gunship (7/1), Ammes (40/1) and Propose (28/1) have the best general profiles. 3:40 - No sig stats. S Prayer (10/3), and G O Eden (9/2) have the best general profiles. 4:20 - 2 sig stats. Trawlerman (5/2), and Candelari (10/3) meet both. 5:00 – 1 sig stat. Fearnot (16/1), Iceford (50/1), Raafedd (15/2), F Column (16/1), A Grey (40/1) and Competizone (33/1). 5:35 – No sig stats. Generals are those at the head of the market T College (3/1), H Stock (9/2), T Alert (17/2), Detain (7/2), and Jackknife (11/2).

Royal Ascot Day 2

2:30 - 3 sig stats. Zelaina (10/3), Lennilu (8/1), S Hideaway (25/1), S Rose (28/1), S Marg (10/1), and S Kiss (10/1) meet all three and the general stats.   3:05 - 1 sig stat. S Wheel (22/1), Carmers (13/2). Shackleton (4/1), D Advocate (15/2|) and Asmarani (9/2) meet it. Applying generals leaves the last three named.  3:40 - 0 sig stats. R Lion (15/2), C Dream (7/4), and Elmalka (14/1) meet the general stats 4:20 - 1 sig stat. L Angeles (7/4) Anmaat (4/1) and S T Fire (5/1) are only horses to meet it.   5:00 - 1 sig stat. M Cloud (7/2), E Guard (40/1), T Evolvere (66/1), B Point (10/1), Silawi (28/1), U Lion (28/1), F Legacy (10/1), G Order (12/1), Sisyphean (25/1), Tokenomics (20/1), and W Cracker (50/1) meet it.  6:10 – No sig stats. O I Gold (11/2), J Steen (12/1), H Hurricane (9/1), and R Legend meet the general stats. 

Royal Ascot Day 1

Narrowing the fields using the sig stats and general trends: 2:30 - 3 sig stats and Rosallion (9/4), Lead Artist (5/1) and Notable Speech (5/1) meet all three. 3:05 - 1 sig stat. Power Blue (18/1), Andab (15/2), Gstaad (5/1), Postmodern (11/2), Military Code (6/1), Warsaw (9/1), Gavoo (22/1) and Tricky Tel (50/1) meet it.  3:40 - 3 sig stats. Asfoora (4/1), Mgheera (9/1), and West Acre (16/1) meet all three.  4:20 - 2 sig stats. Field Of Gold (4/5) and Ruling Court (7/2) meet both.  5:00 - 1 sig stat. Manxman (9/1), A L Grande (11/1), Nurburgring (12/1), Ascending (22/1), Saturn (28/1), and Comfort Zone (28/1) meet it and all of the general stats.  5:35 - 1 sig stat. Haunted Dream (12/1), Kings Gambit (8/1) and Ambiente Friendly (22/1) meet it and the general stats.

Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys'/Amateur Riders' Race)

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 87%  Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Days: 0-39 = 93% Runs: 3+ = 93% OR: S.D 123-141 Weight: S.D. 10–11-7 Crosstab Bred/Age: FR/GB 4-6 IRE 6+   Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Field is narrowed down to Afadil (6/1), Celtic Dino (7/1), Alnilam (14/1), Grimaud (14/1), Old Gregorian (33/1), Slugger (33/1), and Kings Hill (66/1).  

Sefton Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 6-7 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 95% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-6 = 100% OR: S.D 135+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: S.D 141+ Mean 148+   Significant Stats: Age 6-7 SRPR 148+ Winner analysis: No horse meets the sig stats and in truth this looks like another poor grade 1 field. Familiar Dreams (8/1) has slightly the best general profile but is still some way short of a stats winner and I will leave this race alone