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Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys'/Amateur Riders' Race)

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 87%  Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Days: 0-39 = 93% Runs: 3+ = 93% OR: S.D 123-141 Weight: S.D. 10–11-7 Crosstab Bred/Age: FR/GB 4-6 IRE 6+   Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Field is narrowed down to Afadil (6/1), Celtic Dino (7/1), Alnilam (14/1), Grimaud (14/1), Old Gregorian (33/1), Slugger (33/1), and Kings Hill (66/1).  

Sefton Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 6-7 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 95% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-6 = 100% OR: S.D 135+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: S.D 141+ Mean 148+   Significant Stats: Age 6-7 SRPR 148+ Winner analysis: No horse meets the sig stats and in truth this looks like another poor grade 1 field. Familiar Dreams (8/1) has slightly the best general profile but is still some way short of a stats winner and I will leave this race alone 

Topham Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: Not a winner = 100% Days: 0-39 = 84% Runs: 3-7 = 95% OR: 124-152 S.D 129-146 Weight: 10-0–11-8 S.D 10-1–11-3 Significant Stats: Days 0-40 Winner analysis: Shortlist consists of Soul Icon (33/1), Amirite (16/1), Grandeur Dame (16/1),  The King of Prs (25/1), Western Zepher (66/1) and Shantreusse (16/1). 

Melling Chase

Win Stats: Age: 7-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Days: 0-59 = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Runs: 3-5 = 95% Cheltenham run: Yes = 85% Grade: 1 = 90% OR: S.D 160+ Mean 167+ Season RPR: S.D 164+ Mean 171+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-10 IRE 7-8 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 163+ Grade 1 OR 161+ 168+ high Days 0-39 Cheltenham run but must be in the QM or Ryanair IR/FR Bred Winner analysis: Dissapointingly small field. Jonbon (4/7) meets all seven sig stats and if he puts a clear round of jumping in should take the beating. Protektorat (8/1) also meets all seven and could dominate from the front and get an easy lead. 

Top Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% 5-6 = 85% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 90% Distance: 17f = 85% OR: 128+ S.D 134+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: 133+ S.D 137+ Mean 147+ Avoid grade 1 winners = 100% Significant Stats: SRPR 139+ High 146+ OR 137+ High 145+ Correlation OR 145 & SRPR 146 Winner analysis: The fav Romeo Coolio (6/4) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and the correlation and is a worthy fav. S Mundi (11/4), Tripoli Flyer (10/3) and Karbau (40/1) meet both sig stats. 

William Hill Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% 5-7 = 80% Bred: IRE, GB = 95% Runs: 1-5 = 90% Days: 20+ = 90% OR: 124-145 S.D 128-140 Weight: 10-1 – 11-12 S.D 10-5 – 11-4 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Wade Out (8/1), Wreckless Eric (11/1) and Off The Jury (25/1) have the best general profiles. 

Mildmay Novices' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 95% 5-7 = 84% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Days: 20-59 = 95% Runs: 4-6 = 95% LTO: 1-4 = 89% 1-2 = 79% Cheltenham run: Yes = 89% OR: S.D 146+ Mean 153+ Season RPR: S.D 160+ Mean 164+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 IRE 5-7 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 160+ High 164+ OR 148+ High 157+ Winner analysis: Handstands (5/2) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and the step up in trip should suit.