Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Career Bumper Runs: 1-4 = 100% 1-3 = 92% Season Runs: 1-3 = 92% Days: 21+ = 92% LTO: 1st = 100% OR: S.D = 123+ Mean = 129+ RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 132+ Significant Stats: OR 125+ RPR 124+ Age 5-6 CBR 2+ Positive correlation between Pos, RPR (128) and CBR (2-3). Winner analysis: The mare, Bambino Fever (7/1) meets the four sig stats and the correlation, and I just wonder that if Patrick could have made the weight, whether he may have chosen her. Solid EW play in my eyes. Kalypso’chance (13/2) also meets the sig stats and the correlation and is another EW shout. The fav Copacabana lacks experience, but the yard did win this last year with a horse that had only one previous bumper run as well.

EW Stats: Age: 6-11 = 94% 6-9 = 82% Runs: 2-5 = 90%  Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Bred: IR, FR = 85% OR: 136-155 S.D 139-149 Weight: 10-2 – 11-11 S.D 10-10 – 11-6 EW analysis: American Mike (12s), Martator (40s), G Medrano (22s), F Dike (66s), So Scottish (11s) and The King of PRs (8s) meet the EW stats. I have backed So Scottish EW so far. Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% 7-9 = 77% Bred: IRE, FR = 85%  Runs: 2-5 = 92% LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 92% OR: 136-152 S.D 138-148 Weight: 10-2 – 11-8 S.D 10-8 – 11-6 Hurdles OR: Mean 130+ Cross Tab: Age/Bred FR 6-9 Other 7-10 Significant Stats: Avoid LTO winners. Winner analysis: So Scottish and American Mike have the best win profiles as well. I will add AM on the day when extra places are available.

EW Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% 7-10 = 83% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 92% LTO: 1-4 = 88% Runs: 2-4 = 87% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 88% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 97% OR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 165+ Season RPR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 167+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-11 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Marine Nationale (5/1) would be a popular and an emotional winner for all involved and has a strong EW profile. Quilixios (33/1) also has a good profile, and this race has thrown up a few strange results over the years. Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-3 = 90% LTO: 1-5 = 95% 1-3 = 88% Days: 21+ = 100% 21-60 = 85% Distance: = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 100% Chase wins season: 1+ = 95% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100% OR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 170+ Season RPR: S.D = 165+ Mean = 171+ Significant Stats: OR 163+  Grade 1 Season RPR 165+ Grade LTO 1 Correlation between position, OR (170), Grade 1, SRPR (172), grade LTO (1) Winner analysis: Jonbon (10/1...

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 87% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% IRE/FR = 87% Runs: 1-6 = 98% Days: 21+ = 96% Season: Avoid novices = 98% OR: 134-155 S.D 138-149 Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D 10-9 – 11-8 Season RPR: 124+ BRPR: 135+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 5-9 IRE/GB EW analysis: A long, short list! Maxxum (16/1), Eagle Fang (28s), S Clegane (25s), S Fureur (22s), A Gasparo (16s), S Knot (50s), Impose Toi (9/1), and Bunting (12s) meet the general EW stats. Win Stats: Age: 5-8 – 93% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE/FR = 87% Runs: 1-4 = 87% Days: 21+ = 100% Season: Avoid novices = 93% OR: 135-153 S.D 138-150 Weight: 10-2 – 11-10 S.D 10-9 – 11-8 Season RPR: 137 Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats however I have been looking into something else and found those horses with a BRPR 4lb above their OR is showing a minor positive correlation. Winner analysis: The horses above all meet the general stats except A Gasparo. I will...

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 7-8 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 100% 3-5 = 90% LTO: 1-2 = 90% Grade: 1-listed = 100% 1-2 = 85% Days: 20+ = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 92% Chase wins: 1+ = 95% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 153+ Season RPR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 159+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-8 IRE/GB Significant Stats: SRPR 155+ High 161+ OR 155+ Winner analysis: Ballyburn (6/5) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and many people will be playing him in doubles, trebles etc throughout the week. Betterdaysahead (13/2) has a strong general profile for those looking to take on the short priced fav or looking for something in the without market.

EW Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 88% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 95% Runs: 2-4 = 93%  LTO: 1-2 = 93% Days: 21+ = 98% Hurdle wins: 1-3 = 95% Left-handed win: = 90% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 80% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 147+ RPR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 148+ RPR Race: S.D. = 146+ Mean = 152+ EW Analysis : I am really looking forward to this race as there could be some special horses moving forward. In terms of the EW stats and away from the front two, The Yellow Clay (6/1) has a good-looking profile and is unbeaten over hurdles.  Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Distance: = 80% Runs: 2-6 = 95% 2-4 = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% LTO: 1-2 = 95% 1st = 85% Hurdle wins: 2-3 = 92% Left-handed win: = 92% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 77% OR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 148+ RPR: S.D = 145+ Mean = 151+ RPR Race: S.D. 151+ Mean 157+ Significant Stats: RPR 146+  Bred IRE or FR Positive correlation between position, Bred IRE/FR and RPR (153+)  Win...