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Royal Ascot Day 2

2:30 - 2 sig stats. Wild Flower (9/1), Victorious (9/2), and Ruiva (16/1) all meet both. 3:05 - 0 sig stats. Limestone (10/3), and P O Spain (10/1) have the best general stats. 3:40 - 0 sig stats. Best on generals are Blue Bolt (7/2) and Cathedral (7/1). 4:20 - 1 sig stat. Ombudsman (11/8), Minnie Hauk (8/1) and Daryz (2/1) meet it.  5:00 - 1 sig stat. Horses 9st 4 or under. Loads meet it. La Botte (14/1), Indalo (14/1), and Jagged Edge (8/1) are three that caught my eye. 6:10- 0 sig stats. Loads come out on generals, I have backed Controlla (7/2).

Royal Ascot Day 1

Narrowing the fields using the sig stats and general trends: 2:30 - 2 sig stats and one correlation. Notable Speech (5/2), Z Olympios (11/1), O Ballo (7/2), M Thunder (7/2), and Damysus (11/1) all meet the sig stats. Best on generals are N Speech and Z Olympios. 3:05 - 1 sig stat. G Barrier Reef (13/2), Confucius (9/4), C A Dash (10/1), and N I Vegas (10/1) meet it. 3:40 - 2 sig stats and one correlation. Asfoora (11/1) meets both sig stats and the corelation. These meet the two sig stats; Time F Sandals (18/1), American Affair (10/1), N Raider (7/1), J M Jungle (80/1), Cover Up (33/1), and Mgheera (66/1). 4:20 - 2 sig stats. Bow Echo (1/1) and Gstaad (9/4) meet both.  5:00 - 1 sig stat. Bunting (18/1), S Arturo (40/1), Puturhandstogether (13/2), Mordor (33/1), Westminster Moon (18/1), All In You (16/1) and Comfort Zone (25/1) meet it and all of the general stats.  5:35 - 1 sig stat. W Hawkeye (16/1), Galen (12/1) R Rhyme (12/1), and Map of Stars (15/2) meet it and...

Aintree Grand National Saturday 11th April 2026

12:45 - 3 sig stats. Kala Conti (4/1) meets all three and I've backed EW. 1:20 - No sig stats. Loads meet the general stats. Quantum Quest (22/1), Duke Silver (16/1), Fortune Timmy (7/1), and Ikarak (25/1) are some that caught my eye. Not a race I'll be heavily involved in. 1:55 - 3 sig stats. No horse meets all three. Bossman Jack (11/4), Ballyfad (3/1), and Soilder Reeves (15/2) meet two. 2:30 - No sig stats. Terrible stats race. 3:05 - 1 sig stat. Home By The Lee (8/1), Impose Toi (7/1), and Hiddenvally Lake (13/2) only horses to meet it. 4:00 - 2 sig stats. Johnnywho (12/1), Oscars Brother (18/1), Montys Star (14/1), Captain Cody (16/1), and Stellar Story (25/1), meet both and have strong general profiles.  5:00 - No sig stats. Bass Hunter (9/4), Look Me (7/2), and Ronnie Russet (11/1) have the best general profiles.  Best of luck. 

Cheltenham Festival 2026 Review

What a fantastic week—great to see such competitive fields, especially in the graded races. Tuesday Review: The week got off to a flying start in the Supreme Novices’, with Old Park Star and Sober Glory (14/1 at the time) finishing first and second, and all three key stats holding up. In the Arkle, Kargese (6/1) was highlighted as a strong each-way option and also featured prominently in the winner analysis, meeting three of the four key stats—the only missing one being chase wins that season. The Fred Winter proved productive too, with the analysis pointing towards placed horses Winston Junior, Kilycot (40/1 SP), and Pourquoi Pas Papa (28/1 SP). There was no luck in the Ultima, although the winner did meet the significant stat of a 5lb+ RPR vs OR, which strengthens confidence in that stat. In the Champion Hurdle, the two mares who finished first and second had the strongest profiles, and having backed Lossiemouth ante-post, that was a pleasing result. Finally, in the Plate, Mad...

Triumph Hurdle

EW Stats: Bred: IRE/FR/GB = 97% Season hurdle runs: 1-4 = 90% Career hurdle runs: 1-6 = 95% 2-5 = 79% LTO: 1-2 = 87% Days: 21+ = 95% 21-60 =82% OR: S.D = Min = 128+ S.D = 139+ Mean = 144+ Season RPR: S.D = 132+ Mean = 139+ If Flat bred OR rating: S.D = 73+ M 85+ EW Analysis : The two fillies, Selma De Vary (7/2) and Highland Crystal (8/1) have the best EW profiles.  Win Stats: Bred: IRE/FR = 92% Career hurdle runs: 1-4 = 85% Season hurdle runs: 1-3 = 85% LTO: 1-4 = 100% Days: 0-60 = 92% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 75% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 146+ Season RPR: S.D = 133+ Mean = 140+ Flat rating: S.D 80+ Significant Stats: Career hurdle runs 1-4. Winner analysis: Again, the two fillies have the strongest profiles and I've backed both EW.  

Mares' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 7-8 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Season Runs: 3 = 100% Days: 20+ = 100% LTO: 1st = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 80% Grade LTO: 2-listed = 100% Distance: 20/21f = 80% Festival Experience: 80% OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 153+ SRPR: S.D = 151+ Mean = 155+ Significant Stats: OR 150+  SRPR 152+  Winner analysis: Only 5 years of data so a very small sample to work with. Based on the sig stats, Dinoblue (6/4) and Spindleberry (9/2) are the only two horses to meet them.

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 5-7 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% Runs: 2-5 = 98% LTO: 1-4 = 92% Days: 20+ = 97% Distance: 20f-24f = 85% OR: S.D = 136+ Mean = 143+ RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Kazansky (16/1), Spinningayarn (12/1), and Thedeviluno (4/1) all have strong profiles and warrant closer consideration. Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% 6-7 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-4 = 100% 3-4 = 90% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: 19f-24f = 85% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 144+ RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 146+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB Significant Stats: Course winner Age 6-7 Days 21+ High 40+ Winner analysis: The 40+ days angle is a new significant stat I’ll be using to help narrow the field, although I won’t dismiss a horse that falls just short of it if their overall profile is strong. Kripticjim (20/1) is the only runner to meet all three key criteria. His BRPR is a little below wh...