Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 7-8 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Season Runs: 3 = 100% Days: 20+ = 100% LTO: 1st = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 80% Grade LTO: 2-listed = 100% Distance: 20/21f = 80% Festival Experience: 80% OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 153+ SRPR: S.D = 151+ Mean = 155+ Significant Stats: OR 150+  SRPR 152+  Winner analysis: Only 5 years of data so a very small sample to work with. Based on the sig stats, Dinoblue (6/4) and Spindleberry (9/2) are the only two horses to meet them.

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 5-7 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% Runs: 2-5 = 98% LTO: 1-4 = 92% Days: 20+ = 97% Distance: 20f-24f = 85% OR: S.D = 136+ Mean = 143+ RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Kazansky (16/1), Spinningayarn (12/1), and Thedeviluno (4/1) all have strong profiles and warrant closer consideration. Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% 6-7 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-4 = 100% 3-4 = 90% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: 19f-24f = 85% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 144+ RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 146+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB Significant Stats: Course winner Age 6-7 Days 21+ High 40+ Winner analysis: The 40+ days angle is a new significant stat I’ll be using to help narrow the field, although I won’t dismiss a horse that falls just short of it if their overall profile is strong. Kripticjim (20/1) is the only runner to meet all three key criteria. His BRPR is a little below wh...

EW Stats: Age: 7-9 = 97% Bred: IRE, FR = 87% Runs: 1-4 = 100%    Distance: 24f+ = 97% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 90% Festival Experience: = 97% OR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 168+ Best RPR: S.D = 166+ Mean = 172+ Season RPR: S.D. = 164+ Mean = 171 EW Analysis : The Jukebox Man (4/1) and Gaelic Warrior (4/1) have the best profiles. I have backed both EW a few weeks ago. Win Stats: Age: 7-9 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR = 80% Runs: 1-4 = 100% LTO: 1-4 = 100% Days: 40+ = 90% Grade: 1 = 90% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 80% Festival Experience: = 100% OR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 170+ Best RPR: S.D = 168+ Mean = 175+ Season RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean 174+ Significant Stats: Grade 1 OR 166+ BRPR 168+ Winner analysis: Plenty of horses tick the sig‑stat boxes, but once you layer in the general stats, you’re really down to the two already mentioned plus Grey Dawning (12/1). I’m happy with the pair I’ve gone for. The only niggle is last year’s winner—if he comes ...

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% Runs: 0-4 = 92% Season: 1-3 = 92% Novice/2 nd  = 77% LTO: 1-4 = 85% OR: 129-158 S.D 132-146 Weight: S.D 10-6 – 11-5 Significant Stats: OR 144 and under Correlation with Position & LTO (1-4) Winner analysis: Any runner from the Mullins or Skelton yards warrants serious consideration. Murcia (6/1), Sizandahalf (16/1), Jubilee Alpha (20/1), Joyeuse (20/1), and Tellherthename (16/1) all meet the significant stats as well as the broader general trends.

Win Stats: Age: 8-11 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR = 93% Hunter Chase Runs: 1-4 = 100% Days: 20-59 = 93% OR: Mean 134+ SP: Mean 18s or under Significant Stats: Age 8+ High 9+ Winner analysis: Barton Snow (16/1), Its On The Line (11/2), Panda Boy (7/1), Stattler (14/1), and Wiilitgoahead (16/1) all fit both the significant stats and the overall race profile. I’ve backed Panda Boy each-way at ante‑post and will look to add a couple more closer to the day.

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR = 93% Runs: 2-5 = 86% Days: 20+ = 100% LTO: 1-4 = 93% Season:  Novice or 2nd = 93% OR: 135-145 S.D 137-145 Weight: S.D 11-3 – 11-9 Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-7 IRE Significant Stats: OR 137+ High 140+ Weight 11-3+ LTO 1-4 Winner analysis: Eight horses make the significant stat shortlist: It’s Bilbo (20/1), Nurse Susan (20/1), Sa Fureur (33/1), Farfromnowhere (40/1), Karl Des Tourelles (40/1), Fiercely Proud (20/1), East India Express (12/1), and De Capo Glory (50/1). When the broader trends are applied, the field narrows to Karl Des Tourelles, Fiercely Proud, and East India Express . I’ve backed Karl Des Tourelles , and I also took an early position on Kel Historie a couple of weeks ago, based on him matching two of the most important significant stats. That wraps it up for another year—happy punting, everyone, and I hope you’re having (and continue to have) a great week.