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Topham Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: Not a winner = 100% Days: 0-39 = 84% Runs: 3-7 = 95% OR: 124-152 S.D 129-146 Weight: 10-0–11-8 S.D 10-1–11-3 Significant Stats: Days 0-40 Winner analysis: Shortlist consists of Soul Icon (33/1), Amirite (16/1), Grandeur Dame (16/1),  The King of Prs (25/1), Western Zepher (66/1) and Shantreusse (16/1). 

Melling Chase

Win Stats: Age: 7-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Days: 0-59 = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Runs: 3-5 = 95% Cheltenham run: Yes = 85% Grade: 1 = 90% OR: S.D 160+ Mean 167+ Season RPR: S.D 164+ Mean 171+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-10 IRE 7-8 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 163+ Grade 1 OR 161+ 168+ high Days 0-39 Cheltenham run but must be in the QM or Ryanair IR/FR Bred Winner analysis: Dissapointingly small field. Jonbon (4/7) meets all seven sig stats and if he puts a clear round of jumping in should take the beating. Protektorat (8/1) also meets all seven and could dominate from the front and get an easy lead. 

Top Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% 5-6 = 85% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 90% Distance: 17f = 85% OR: 128+ S.D 134+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: 133+ S.D 137+ Mean 147+ Avoid grade 1 winners = 100% Significant Stats: SRPR 139+ High 146+ OR 137+ High 145+ Correlation OR 145 & SRPR 146 Winner analysis: The fav Romeo Coolio (6/4) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and the correlation and is a worthy fav. S Mundi (11/4), Tripoli Flyer (10/3) and Karbau (40/1) meet both sig stats. 

William Hill Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% 5-7 = 80% Bred: IRE, GB = 95% Runs: 1-5 = 90% Days: 20+ = 90% OR: 124-145 S.D 128-140 Weight: 10-1 – 11-12 S.D 10-5 – 11-4 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Wade Out (8/1), Wreckless Eric (11/1) and Off The Jury (25/1) have the best general profiles. 

Mildmay Novices' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 95% 5-7 = 84% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Days: 20-59 = 95% Runs: 4-6 = 95% LTO: 1-4 = 89% 1-2 = 79% Cheltenham run: Yes = 89% OR: S.D 146+ Mean 153+ Season RPR: S.D 160+ Mean 164+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 IRE 5-7 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 160+ High 164+ OR 148+ High 157+ Winner analysis: Handstands (5/2) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and the step up in trip should suit. 

Goffs Nickel Coin Mares' Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 88% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE = 75% Career Bumper Runs: 2-4 = 88% Career Bumper Wins: 1 = 88% Days: 21+ = 88% Avoided Cheltenham: = 88% LTO: 1-5 = 100% OR: S.D = 108+ Mean = 115+ RPR: S.D = 105+ Mean = 113+ Significant Stats: No Sig Stats Winner analysis: Seo Linn (11/4), Charisma Cat (5/1), Kingston Queen (16/1) and Highland Haven (22/1) meet the general stats. 

Red Rum Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Distance: 85% Runs: 2+ = 95% OR: 129-149 S.D. 131-142 Weight: 9-9 – 11-10 S.D = 10-1 – 11-4 Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 FR 7+ IRE Significant Stats: OR 142 and under Winner analysis: The Folkes Tiara (6/1) and Calico (11/1) meet the sig stat and the general stats and I have backed both EW.