Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 3-6 = 94% Runs: 2-5 = 94% Days: 0-59 = 94%  Bred: GB, IRE = 94% OR: 91-111 S.D. 96-107 Weight: 8-9 - 10-0 S.D. 8-11 - 9-9 Distance: 100% Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: As expected a very competitive renewal. The horses that meet all of the general stats are, Hurricane Ivor (6/1), Fresh (13/2), Ejtilaab (14/1), Meraas (14/1), Commanche Falls (14/1), Bielsa ( 16/1), Motagally (25/1),  Zarzyni (25/1) and Hey Jonesy (33/1). I'll be going through each horse in more detail, but just a note, high draw horses in the 6f nursery today faired best. 

Win Stats: Age: 3-5 = 94% Distance: 12-14f+ = 94% LTO: 1-4 = 88% OR: S.D. 90+ Mean 101+ Significant Stats: Days 20+ Winner analysis: Not much to go on whatsoever but it does appear you need a horse with at least a 20 day break and one that has proven her stamina already. Taken the above stats into account, Wonderful Tonight (4/5), Believe In Love (10/1) and Cabaletta (22/1) have the best profiles. On paper WT is miles ahead on ratings and she should win providing there is still some ease in the ground. BIL looks to have a decent EW shout. 

Win Stats: Runs: 2+ = 88% Age: 4-6 = 88% Distance: 10f+ = 88% Bred: GB, IRE = 94% OR: 97+ S.D. 106+ Mean 110+ Significant Stats: OR 111+ Winner analysis: Four horses to focus on, Mogul (11/4), Passion And Glory (4/1), Euchen Glen (9/2) and Eagles By Day (16/1). This will be a tough ask for EG to give 3lb away and for EBD first time out.

Win Stats: Age: 3-7 =83% Runs: 1-4 = 92% Days: 0-59 = 100% Distance:  100% Group: 1 - listed = 92% OR: 104+ S.D. 107+ Mean 114+ Draw: 1-12 Significant Stats: OR 114 Royal Ascot run  Winner analysis: Battasah (7/4) meets both sig stats and all of the generals, a major concern however is the rain that is forecast. Dragon Symbol (3/1) and Art Power (6/1) also meet the two sig stats and so far I've backed the latter EW as he is sure to appreciate the rain.  

Win Stats: Age: 3-6 = 100% Runs: 2-6 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 100% 0-39 = 88% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 94% OR: 87-106 S.D. 92-104 Weight: 8-1 - 9-7 S.D. 8-6 - 9-4 Draw: 1-15 = 100% S.D. 1-9 Significant Stats: Age 3-5 Draw 1-9 Winner analysis: The draw appears to play a significant part in this race and it seems wise to focus on those drawn in single figures. Johan (9/1), Maydanny (10/1), Qaader (12/1), Shelir (16/1), Path Of Thunder (4/1) and Rhoscolyn (9/1) meet both significant stats and I'll be looking at these in more detail. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-4 = 88% Group: Avoid G 1-2 = 100% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 94% OR: 98+ S.D. 103+ Mean 108+ Significant Stats: OR 108+ Runs 1-4 pref 1-3 Winner analysis: Baaeed (4/6) looks an exciting horse and meets all the stats including the significant stats, he will be a bit short for some people however but providing he handles the course should win. Others that meet all the stats. and providing 8 horses remain look decent EW value are Rhythm Master (12/1) and Tactical (16/1).   

Win Stats: Age: 3-5 = 100% Bred: GB, IRE = 88% Runs: 2-5 = 88% Days: 20-59 = 88% Group: 1-3 = 88% LTO: 1-6 =100% OR: 103+ S.D. 109+ Mean 114+ Significant Stats: Runs 2-5 Winner analysis: Joan Of Arc (5/2) and Lady Bowthorpe (7/2) have the best profiles and I'll be looking further at both and going back through some videos and the form. Just on first glance Lady Bowthorpe form is stronger but she does have stamina doubts and has to concede 10lb to the 3 year old. 

Win Stats: Runs: 2-6 = 94% Days: 20-59 = 94% Distance: 8-12f = 94% Bred: GB, IRE = 100% OR: 90+ S.D. 100+ Mean 106+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Three horses meet all of the general stats, Third Realm (5/2), Yibir (11/2) and Youth Spirit (14/1). The latter two horses both carry 3lb penalties which sways me towards Third Realm. Indeed his Derby 5th and previous Lingfield win both read very well and he has shown he handles good/soft ground. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-5 = 94% Days: 0-39 = 88% Distance: 5-6f = 94% Bred: IRE, GB, USA = 100% Sire Index: 6.2 - 9.1 S.D. 6.2 - 8.1 Dams Sire Index: 6.6 - 11 Foaled: Jan - Apr = 100% Significant Stats: Foaled Jan - Apr (earlier the better) Runs 1-4 Sire Index 6.2 - 8.1 Winner analysis: Quite a few meet all three sig stats including the fav Asymmetric (5/2) who looked unlucky last time out and has produced some strong RPRs. Perfect Power (9/2) won well at Royal Ascot and has a great profile for the race, the one negative is carrying the 3lb penalty. Finally, Gis A Sub (16/1) is another who has a strong profile and I think is overpriced. 

Win Stats: Age: 6-8 = 82% Runs since Jan: 2-5 = 94% Distance: 21/22f = 82% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% OR: 126-149 S.D. 131-145 Weight: 9-10 - 11-9 S.D. 10-2 - 11-1 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: As with most of these competitive handicaps no sig stats to help narrow down the field. Based on general stats these horses are catching my eye, Top Moon (7/1), Sompteux (10/1), Assemble (14/1), Mitchouka (25/1) and Visioman (25/1). Bit of rain expected overnight and in the morning so it's best to wait and watch the 1st couple of races, also look for enhanced place terms as I'll be backing EW with those firms.

Win Stats: Age: 3-7 = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Days: 20-59 = 94% Group: 1-3 = 100% Distance: = 83% LTO: 1-2 = 89% OR: 110+ S.D. 114+ Mean 121+ Significant Stats: OR 119+ Runs 2-5 Group 1-2 LTO 1-2 Bred GB IRE Winner analysis: Poetic Flare (5/4), Snow Lantern (9/2) and Order of Australia (16/1) meet all of the significant stats. PF looked better than ever LTO, the only minor concern is that his defeats this year has come when there has been cut in the ground. SL looks a solid EW bet and should be bang there and I've backed her and the fav. I don't think OOA will like the ground so happy to pass him over. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-5 = 94% Days: 0-59 = 94% Group: listed or none = 100%  Distance: = 89% Bred: IRE, GB = 100% Sire Index: 6.2 - 9.3 S.D. 6.6 - 8.4 Dams Sire Index: 6.3 - 10.6 S.D. 6.3 - 9.3 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: The following horses have the best general profiles, Fearby (13/8), Nymphadoro (12/1). Boonie (14/1), Chimgan (18/1), Swayze (22/1) and K Star (33/1). Not sure I want to take 13/8 in a big field 2 year old race at Goodwood so I may chance Nymphadoro and Boonie EW at the prices. My doubt is whether either will go on the ground but at the prices I'm tempted to find out. 

Win Stats: Age: 3-4 = 94% Runs: 1-4 = 94% Days: 0-59 = 88% Distance: 76% Draw: 1-10 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB, USA = 100% OR: 97+ S.D. 100+ Mean 104+ Significant Stats: Group 1 - listed Winner analysis: Most horses meet the significant stat so turning to the general stats and Bounce The Blues (9/2), Vadream (6/1) and Valeria Messalina (8/1) come out well. I've backed Vadream EW so far and will look again at the other two in the morning. 

Win Stats: Age: 4+ = 94% Runs: 1-3 = 83% Days: 20-59 = 100% LTO: 1-3 = 94% Group: 1-2 = 89% Distance: 12f – 20f = 100% Bred: IRE, GB = 94% OR: 107+ S.D. 112+ Mean 116+ Significant Stats: OR 116+ LTO 1-3 Group 1-2 Winner analysis: Only two horses meet all 3 significant stats, Spanish Mission (9/2) and Sir Ron Priestly (11/1). Not sure I fancy either on soft going. Stradivarius (7/4) and Trueshan (9/4) both meet two sig stats and will handle the ground and I’m hoping Frankie can do the business on the fav to win five in a row. No bet race for me however.        

Win Stats: Age: 3-5 = 94% Runs: 1-5 = 94% Days: 0-59 = 89% Group: 1-listed = 94% 1-3 = 83% Distance: 83% Bred: IRE, GB, USA = 100% OR: 110+ S.D. 111+ Mean 114+ Significant Stats: OR 114+ Winner analysis: Five horses meet the significant stat and they will be my main focus. Last years winner Space Blues (5/2) is top rated and has a strong profile, my only concern would be soft ground, so I’ll be waiting until after the first race to decide whether to back. His stablemate Creative Force (5/2) has a perfect profile for the race and does go on soft ground. He will need to break well from his stall otherwise he will be stuck behind a wall of horses turning in. Safe Voyage (9/1) has a decent profile and appreciates soft going, however I just don’t think he is quite good enough nowadays to win this. Finally, Kinross (11/2) ticks plenty of boxes and should run well whilst Khuzaam (28/1) is the last horse to meet the sig stat.  

Win Stats: Runs: 1-3 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 94% LTO: 1-2 = 94% Sire Index: 7.2+ Dams Sire Index: 6.8+ S.D 7.9+ Bred: IRE, GB, USA = 100% Significant Stats: LTO 1-2 Winner analysis: Looking for a horse who is in form and has a recent run. The horses that meet the significant stat are Berkshire Royal (9/4), Lusail (2/1) and Angel Bleu (8/1). If the ground is soft, then A Bleu is proven on the going and providing this quick turnaround doesn’t inconvenience him provides a bit of value. If the ground is on the good side, then my slight preference is for the Coventry Stakes winner B Royal.