Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 4-6 = 90% Distance: = 90% Runs: 0-7 = 95% OR: S.D 96-107 Weight: S.D 8-12 – 9-8 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: As with most big sprint handicaps there are no sig stats and the S.D. for OR is large. 10 horses on my shortlist to look at and at the moment I'm looking to back Khanjar (11/1), Orazio (13/2), and Lethal Levi (14/1) EW. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-6 = 100% Bred: GB, IRE = 90% Runs: 1-3 = 95% Days: 0-59 = 95% Group: 1-3 = 95% Distance: = 85% OR: S.D 113+ Mean 117+ LTO: 1-5 = 95% Significant Stats: OR 117+ Winner analysis: Hukum (15/8), Free Wind (11/4), and Pyledriver (15/2) meet the sig stat an you couldn't discount any of them. Watching race for me at this stage.  

Win Stats: Age: 3-7 = 100% Runs: 1-5 = 90% Group: 1-listed = 100% 1-3 = 90% Distance: = 90% OR: S.D 111+ Mean 116+ Draw 2-21 Significant Stats: Group 1-3 Winner analysis: Many horses meet the sig stat but those with the best general profiles include Artorius (4/1), Wellington (6/1), Highfield Princess (11/2), Kinross (8/1), Al Suhail (16/1). I've backed Artrious ante post and I'll probably add Highfield Princess. Kinross I like but not keen on backing him for his first run of the season. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1+ = 95% Days: 0-59 = 85% Group: Avoid group 1 = 100% OR: S.D 103+ Mean 109+ Draw: 4-20 Significant Stats: OR 105+ High 111+ Winner analysis: The Antarctic (6/1), Mysterious Night (10/1), O Maralda (10/1), and Holloway Bay (12/1) have strong profiles. Quite keen on The Antarctic and O Maralda EW.  

Win Stats: Runs: 1-2 = 100% Days: 10-49 = 100%  Distance: 6-7f if won a race = 95% LTO: 1-3 = 85% Sire Index: 8.1+ Pref 8.7+ Dams Sire Index: 6.9+  Best RPR: Mean 86+ Significant Stats: Runs 1-2 Sire index 8.7+ High 9.9+ Winner analysis: Quite a few horses meet the sig stats, Content (13/2), La Guarido (13/2), S Sadaty (14/1), Q Bras (16/1), D Star (40/1), Matnookh (20/1), Oddysey (50/1), and C Reaper (66/1). Once you apply the general stats La Guarido, Content, S Sadaty, and Q Bras come out well.  

Win Stats: Runs: 1+ = 100% Days: 0-59 = 95% Distance: 8-12f = 95% Group 3, listed or none = 90% OR: Mean 106+ Significant Stats: OR 100+ Pref 109+ Winner analysis: Most horses meet the high sig stat, however one I couldn't back is Arrest based on his knee action and the faster going. King Of Steel (11/10) and Continuous (15/2) would be my idea of the winner.  

Win Stats: Runs: 1-2 = 91% Days: 0-39 = 91% OR: S.D. 87-103  Weight: S.D 8-4 – 9-6 Significant Stats: Days 0-39 Winner analysis: Poor stats race but I'll throw some small EW bets at Chelsea Green (11/1), Ma Belle Artiste (14/1) and Eximious (22/1) as they have the best profiles. Away from the stats, Clounmacan (14/1) is worth looking at as Jonny Murtagh doesn't send them over if he doesn't think they have a chance and he has won this race in 2021.  

Win Stats: Runs: 1+ = 95%% Days: 0-59 = 95% Group: 1-3 = 95% Distance: 7-8f = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Ran in IRE/FR/GB Guineas: = 85% OR: S.D. 108+ Mean 112+ Significant Stats: OR 108+ High 115+ Group 1-3 High 1-2 Winner analysis: Three horses meet both sig stats, Tahiyra (8/13), Meditate (9/2) and Mamas Girl (28/1), however only the fav meets the high sig stat of 115+. I think Meditate will get closer to the fav this time around on a quicker surface and both should pull clear of the others. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-5 = 95% Runs: 1+ = 95% Days: 0-59 = 90% Distance: 10-12f = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 90% OR: S.D. 92-101 Weight: S.D 8-12 – 9-7 Draw: 6-21 Significant Stats: Draw 11+ Winner analysis: First port of call is to check the draw as a double figure draw has been significantly advantageous over the years. Maksud (6/1) is a horse with a good profile and draw and I backed as soon as the final decs was made and I've just noticed he has been very well backed this evening. Jack Darcy (40/1) is another with a good draw and profile, as does Stay Well (33/1), and Moracana (33/1).  I wouldn't rule out any horse drawn double figures and I'm going to look at the two Bin Suroor horses form as well in much greater detail before deciding who to back. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1+ = 88% Career Runs: 4-8 = 100% Days: 20+ = 100% Group: 1-2 = 88% OR: S.D. 111+ Mean 115+ Best RPR: S.D. 111+ Mean 116+ Draw: 1-18 Days: 20-48 = 100% Significant Stats: Runs 1-2 OR 115+ Group 1-2 Days 20-48 Winner analysis: Four sig stats and two horses meet all of them, Little Big Bear (11/10) and Lezoo (8/1). Away from the stats I can see Noble Style (16/1) running much better than his previous couple of runs. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-2 = 100% Days: 0-39 = 90% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 95% LTO: 1-3 = 95% Foaled: Jan–March  = 95% Sire Index: 6.4 – 11.8  Dams Sire Index: 6.9 – 11.4 Draw: 2-20 Best RPR: Mean 87+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Just purely based on the general stats, Carlas Way (5/1), Navassa Island (5/1), Jabaara (13/2), and Porta Fortuna (7/1) come out best. I've backed N Island ante post and I'll look to add at least another EW.  

W in Stats: Runs: 1-4 = 90% Days: 0-59 = 90% Distance: 7f-10f = 100% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 95% Group: Listed or none = 100% OR: Mean 104+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: A woeful stats race and I'll more than likely by pass it. Those that meet the generals include Torito (4/1), Epicteus (6/1), Bold Act (15/2), Waipro (10/1), Captain Winters (33/1) and Caernarfon (12/1). 

Win Stats: Runs: 2-4 = 91% 3-4 = 82% Days: 0-39 = 82% LTO: 1-3 = 82% Distance: 7f-8f = 91% Bred: GB, IRE = 91% OR: S.D 87-99 Weight: S.D. 8-6 – 9-3 Draw: 3-29 Significant Stats: Runs 3-4 Days 0-40 Winner analysis: I'm not convinced by the sig stats as this race hasn't been a great stats race previously but using them and the generals provides a shortlist of Starnberg (22/1), Docklands (8/1), Physique (50/1) and Metal Merchant (50/1). 

Win Stats: Age: 4-8 = 100% 4-6 = 90% Runs: 1-2 = 85% Days: 20+ = 90% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Distance: 14f=20f = 100% 16f-20f = 85% Bred: GB, IRE = 95% Group: 1-3 = 90% OR: S.D 113+ Mean 118+ Significant Stats: OR 117+ Distance 16f+ Winner analysis: Coltrane (7/2), Subjectivist (9/1), Broome (16/1) and Trueshan (20/1) meet both sig stats although the latter is a doubtful runner unless there is significant rain. If Subjectivist is back to the same form before he got injured he would take stopping

Win Stats: Runs: 1-3 = 95% Days: 0-59 = 90% Distance: 7f-12f = 100% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 100% Group: 3, listed or none = 95% LTO: 1-5 = 85% OR: Mean 100+ Significant Stats: Group 3 - listed is a slight positive Winner analysis: The fav, Al Asaifh (8/13) was very impressive LTO and has the perfect profile of a winner, I have backed in a double with Gregory who won on day 2 so fingers crossed. My only reservation is whether this race comes too soon after her last run. Other horses who have the same stats profiles include Village Voice (20/1), Midnight Mile (22/1) and Lumiere Rock (33/1). I've also backed Village Voice EW.

Win Stats: Runs: 2-3 = 91% Days: 0-59 = 91% Distance: 8f-12f = 91% LTO: 1-2 = 100% OR: S.D 87-94 Weight: S.D. 8-6 – 9-3 Draw: 4-22 Significant Stats: LTO 1-2 Winner analysis: This usually goes to an in form improving horse who has finished 1-2 LTO. Perfuse (17/2), Burglar (6/1), V King (9/1), W Legend (8/1), and G Storm (25/1) have the best profiles. I was impressed with how Wonder Legend travelled on won LTO and I think he may still have more up his sleeve and I've backed EW. I'll be looking at the others again in the morning. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-4 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 95% 0-39 = 85% LTO: 1-6 = 100% Distance: = 90% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 100% Foaled: Jan–Apr  = 95% Sire Index: 5.5 – 8.9 S.D. 6.4+ Dams Sire Index: 7.6 – 11.4 Pref 8.2+ Best RPR: S.D. 86+ Mean 90+ Significant Stats: Dams sire index 7.9+ High 8.2+ Winner analysis: Huge price winner for the blog last year and hopefully history will repeat itself. Using the sig stat of 8.2+ dams sire index provides a shortlist of  No Nay Mets (15/2), Devious (16/1), His Majesty (9/1), Mon Na Slieve (22/1) and Valiant Force (100/1). This will be run at a fast pace with the two US horses drawn either side and they could be susceptible  to a strong finisher. 

Win Stats: Runs: 1-3 = 100% Days: 0-39 = 90% LTO: 1-6 = 100% Foaled: Jan – Apr = 100% Sire Index: 6.5 – 9.8  Best RPR: S.D 84+ Mean 91+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: The horses with the strongest looking profiles are Barnwell Boy (10/3), Bombay Bazaar (10/1), Supersonic Man (16/1), World of Darcy (16/1), Fusterlandia (33/1), Hackman (33/1), and Hala Emaraaty (66/1).  I do like the Johnston horse and backed him ante post for this and the Coventry and he should run well. Bombay Bazaar has progressed with every run and I wouldn't be suprised to see him thereabouts and the same applies to Supersonic Man. 

Win Stats: Days: 0-59 = 85% Bred: GB, IRE = 90% LTO: 1-3 = 90% Distance: 8f-12f+ = 95% Runs: 1-6 = 90% OR: S.D 94+ Mean 101+ Significant Stats: OR 94+ High 102+ Winner analysis: Using the high sig stat and the generals leaves us with Gregory (7/4), Circle of Fire (6/1), and Hadrianus (18/1). The fav looks solid and should be hard to beat, whilst the other two hold EW chances. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 100% 4-5 = 82% Bred: GB, IRE = 91% Days: 20+ = 82% Runs: 0-2 = 91% Draw: 4-33 = 100% OR: 94-105 S.D 97-103 Weight: 8-6 – 9-5 S.D. 8-11 – 9-4 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Based upon the general stats my shortlist consists of Blue For You (16/1), Sonny Liston (16/1), Danum (16/1), Perotto (7/1), Astro King (9/1), Wannes (25/1), and Aerion Power (33/1).  Blue For You should come on for his first run at York and appeals EW as does Astro King who travelled extremely well into the same race but was denied a clear run, the fast pace should suit both. The Irish horse, Danum is also very interesting and if Adelaise runs well in the 2nd race of the day I'd expect to see him shorten in the market. I'll wait for the going reading before finalising my bets.  

Win Stats: Age: 4-5 = 95% Days: 20+ = 90% LTO: 1-3 = 85% Distance: 10f – 12f = 100% Runs: 0-3 = 100% Group: 1-3 = 100% OR: S.D 118+ Mean 121+ Significant Stats: OR 118+ High 122+ Positive correlation pos - OR (122) Winner analysis: This shapes up to be a cracking race despite only having six runners. I have backed My Prospero at 10/1 ante post a while back. 5/6 meet the sig but only two meet the positive correlation and they are Luxembourg (9/4) and Bay Bridge (7/2). If I'm honest I couldn't put anyone off backing any of the top 4 in the market so for that reason I will sit back and just watch the race without adding another horse.

Win Stats: Age: 4-5 = 95% 4 = 85% Bred: GB, IRE = 100% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Distance: 8f – 10f = 95% 8f = 85% Runs: 0-2 = 90% Group: 1 – Listed = 95% OR: S.D 105+ Mean 110+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Prosperous Voyage (3/1) has the best general profile and is officially top rated, the only negative is that her only run at Ascot was poor. Next best are Grande Dame (7/1) and Random Harvest (25/1) and I've currently backed the latter EW. Away from the stats, I think Rogue Millennium (11/1) may have a decent EW shout. 

Win Stats: Days: 0-59 = 100% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 100% LTO: 1-2 = 100% 1st = 85% Distance: = 85% Runs: 1-3 = 90% Best RPR: S.D 88+ Mean 93+ Sire Index: 6.1 – 9.6 S.D 6.4 - 8.2 Foaled: Jan – Apr = 100% Significant Stats: LTO 1st Best RPR 86+  Winner analysis: The two significant stats narrow the field down to Beautiful Diamond (7/2), Relief Rally (7/1), Born To Rock (8/1), Got To Love A Grey (10/1), Midnight Affair (10/1), Crimson Advocate (12/1) and Balsam (16/1). I personally backed Relief Rally last week at slightly bigger prices and I'll look to add a couple more in the morning once the going stick readings come out as it could pay to be drawn nearer the rails. 

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% 5-7 = 82% Days: 0-59 = 91% 20-59 = 82% Bred: GB, IRE = 91% Distance: 12f+= 100% Runs: 1-5 = 91% OR: 89-100 S.D = 91 – 98 Weight: 8-10 - 9-10 S.D = 9-1 – 9-10 Significant Stats: Age 5-9 Correlation between pos, age (5+) and runs (2+) Winner analysis: I'll be avoiding the 4 year olds again this year. Based on the sig stat and generals, Calling The Wind (12/1), Solent Getaway (20/1), Zoffee (14/1), Law Of The Sea (11/1), Themaxwecan (40/1), and Zinc White (14/1) have the best profiles. I've backed CTW, LOTS and Themaxwecan EW.

  Win Stats: Days: 0-59 = 95% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 95% Runs: 1-3 = 95% Group: 1-Listed = 90% Distance: 6-8f = 95% 8f = 80% OR: S.D = 113+ Mean = 118+ Significant Stats: OR 115+ Distance 8f Winner analysis: Paddington (5/2) and Chaldean (9/4) are the only horses to meet both sig stats and they both arrive in top form having won the Irish and English Guineas respectively. I personally think the Irish Guineas form is stronger however I think I'll leave the race alone for betting purposes. 

Win Stats: Age: 3-7 = 100% 4-7 = 89% Days: 20+ = 89% Runs since Jan: 2+ = 89% Group: 1-3 = 89% OR: S.D = 113+ Mean = 117+ Significant Stats: OR 111+ High 116+ Runs 1+ pref 2+ Group 1-3 Correlation between position and OR 116+ Winner analysis: Using the three sig stats provides me with a shortlist of Highfield Princess (5/2), Coolangatta (9/2), Manaccan (5/1), Dramatised (7/1), Cannonball (12/1), Twilight Gleaming (20/1), Marshman (25/1), Bradsell (33/1) and Mooniesta (40/1).  I've been steadily backing HP over the last few weeks as I think she is the best of the UK horses. Normally I would avoid 3 year old horses in this race but for some reason Bradsell appeals and I've backed EW with enhanced places. The two Australian horses that meet the sig stats need to be looked at, however I'm not sure either are in the league of previous Aus winners. I'll look over their form and watch their races again tonight. 

Win Stats: Season Runs: 1-3 = 95% LTO: 1st = 95% Days: 0-39 = 80% Bred: = GB, IRE, USA = 100% Foaled: Jan - April =100% Best RPR: S.D = 89+ Mean = 98+ Sire Index: 5.9 – 9.9 Significant Stats: Best RPR 97+ Winner analysis: The market has this right with those posting impressive RPRs at the head of it. River Tiber (15/8) posted an RPR of 107 LTO and is looking to give O'Brien a tenth win in this race. Asadna (10/3) posted a very impressive 106 RPR on debut which suggests he is a very good horse and he has a strong profile and must enter calculations. The recently well backed Givemethebeatboys (4/1) meets the sig stat having hit an RPR of 105, again he needs to be looked at especially with Frankie on board. Lastly, Buyin Buyin (40/1) is the only other horse to meet the sig stat and is worth looking at in the extra place markets. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-5 = 95% Days: 13-60 =100%  Season Runs: 1+ = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Distance: = 85% Group: 1-3 = 95% OR: S.D = 114+ Mean = 121+ Significant Stats: OR 117+ pref 121+ Group 1-2 pref group 1 Days 20-42  Correlation between OR 121 and group 1 winner Winner analysis: 20 years of data has been analysed. Modern Games (2/1) meets all of the sig stats, including the high correlation and has a lot in his favour, connections will be hoping there is no more significant rain at the track. Mutasaabeq (18/1) meets the three sig stats and looks to have a solid EW chance, my only reservation is that all of his best form seems to come at Newmarket. Native Trail (13/2) is the final horse to meet the three sig stats and has been well backed over the last week, and the form of his run in last years Eclipse is some of the best on offer. Inspiral (2/1) has yet to run this season which based on trends is a negative, she did however win here last year on her seasonal run.