Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 6-8 = 90% Days: 0-59 = 95% Runs: 3+ = 95% Distance: 100% OR: S.D. 147+ Mean 155+ Season RPR: S.D. 152+ Mean 161+ Significant Stats: OR 146+ High 153+ Grade 1 or 2 SRPR 153+ High 160+ Winner analysis: The fav Found A Fifty (15/8) meets all of the sig stats and the OR high stat and should go close. Hercule Du Seuil (6/1) also meets the sig stats and the OR high one and is Mullins only runner so warrants respect. Finally, Djelo (14/1) meets the three sig stats and has strong general profile as well.

Win Stats: Age: 8-11 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, = 95%  Days: 21-84. S.D. 21-52 Runs: 3-6 = 95% LTO: 1-5 = 88% Chase Runs: 1+ = 100% Distance 24f+ = 90% BRPR: 144+ Mean 154+ OR: 136-160 S.D. 139-154 Weight: 10-3 – 11-9 S.D. 10-5 – 11-3 Crosstab Age/Bred: FR 9-11 IRE 8-11 Significant Stats: Runs 3+ Winner analysis: Quite a few horses meet the sig stat but when applying the general stats I’ve produced a shortlist of Corach Rambler (8/1), Ain’t That A Shame (50/1), Vanillier (12/1), Galia Des Liteaux (28/1), Panda Boy (11/1) and I Am Maximus (15/2).

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 0-59 = 95% Chelt Run: = 84% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Grade: 1 or 2 = 95% OR: S.D. 156+ Mean 164+ Season RPR: S.D. 157+ Mean 164+ Significant Stats: OR 157+  Season RPR 158+ Bred FR/GB Winner analysis: Flooring Porter (7/2) meets two out of the three sig stats and has a strong profile, while Sire Du Berlais (11/2) also meets two and loves it here. Finally Crambo (8/1) meets all three and looks interesting EW.  

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20-59 = 90% Runs: 3+ = 89% OR: 123-151 S.D. 132-146 Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D. 10-6 – 11-6 Significant Stats: Cheltenham run Winner analysis: Shortlist of Twig (15/2), Crebilly (7/2), and   Kilbeg King (12/1) after applying all of the stats.

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: 1-6 = 95% Days: 20-59 = 100% 20-39 = 90% Runs: 3-5 = 89% OR: S.D. 139+ Mean 147+ Season RPR: S.D. 145+ Mean 150+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5 FR 5-7 IRE/GB Significant Stats: SRPR 145+ OR 142+ Positive correlation between Pos, OR (147), SRPR (148) Winner analysis: A strong stats race and Brighterdaysahead (5/4), Jimmy Du Seuil (4/1) and Ile Atlantique (6/1) meet the sig stats and are the ones to focus one. I’ve personally backed the two Mullins horses earlier in the week EW.

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 95% Days: 20+ = 95% OR: 128-150 S.D. 129-142 Weight: 10-4 – 11-12 S.D = 10-9 – 11-5 Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats. Winner analysis: Fine Margin (14/1), Johnnywho (8/1), Landrake (33/1), Alfie Rose (40/1), Floueur 66/1), and Johnsons Blue (33/1) are on the stats shortlist.

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 86%  Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Days: 20-39 = 93% Runs: 3+ = 93% OR: S.D 127-140 Weight: S.D. 10 – 11-8 Crosstab Bred/Age: FR/GB 4-6 IRE 6+   Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Brucio (9/1), Afadil (12/1) and Rewired (40/1) have the slightly better profiles based on the general stats.

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 6-7 = 90% Bred: IRE, GB = 84% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-6 = 100% OR: S.D 134+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: S.D 140+ Mean 147+   Significant Stats: No significant stats  Winner analysis: Limited stats and no sig stats. Readin Tommy Wrong (7/2) and The Jukebox Man (7/2) have the strongest profiles, followed closely by Dancing City (6/1). I’ve backed the two Mullins horses.

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: Not a winner = 100% Days: 0-39 = 89% Runs: 3+ = 100% OR: 124-152 S.D 129-146 Weight: 10-0–11-8 S.D 10-1–11-3 Significant Stats: Days 0-40 Winner analysis: Using the sig stat (I’m allowing a day or 2) and the general stats Kandoo Kid (14/1), Frero Banbou (16/1), Ciel De Neige (22/1), Flegmatik (40/1), Good Boy Bobby (50/1), Killer Kane (25/1) and Embittered (100/1) have the best profiles. I’ve backed Kandoo Kid EW.

Win Stats: Age: 7-9 = 84% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Days: 0-59 = 100% LTO: 1-6 = 90% Runs: 3-5 = 95% Cheltenham run: Yes = 90% Grade: 1 = 90% OR: S.D 160+ Mean 167+ Season RPR: S.D 163+ Mean 171+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-10 IRE 6-8 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 163+ Grade 1 OR 160+ 167+ high Days 0-39 Cheltenham run but must be in the QM or Ryanair Winner analysis: Protektorat (7/2), Envoi Allen (6/1) and Comflated (14/1) meet all five sig stats. Protektorat and EA also have strong general profiles and I’ll be looking to back both on the day.

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 90% OR: 128+ S.D 133+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: 133+ S.D 137+ Mean 147+ Avoid grade 1 winners = 100% Significant Stats: SRPR 138+ High 145+ Winner analysis: The mare Golden Ace (11/1) produced a smart performance at Cheltenham and at the price looks a fair EW bet. Mystical Power (6/4), Firefox (10/3), and Lookaway (25/1) are the other horses to meet the sig stat.

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB = 95% Runs: 1-5 = 90% Days: 20+ = 90% OR: 124-145 S.D 128-140 Weight: 10-1 – 11-12 S.D 10-5 – 11-3 Significant Stats: Bred FR negative. Winner analysis: A shortlist of five after applying the sig stat and the general stats. Theatre Man (10/1), Serious Operator (20/1), Champagne Twist (11/1), Tronador (66/1) and Making Headway (8/1).

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Days: 20-59 = 94% Runs: 4-6 = 94% LTO: 1-4 = 89% Cheltenham run: Yes = 89% OR: S.D 145+ Mean 153+ Season RPR: S.D 160+ Mean 164+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 IRE 5-7 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 160+ High 164+ Winner analysis: A weak grade 1 in my opinion and I’m not sure too many of these will turn out to be a grade 1 performer in open company next year. No horse meets the sig stat which also suggests it is a poor renewal. Based on the general stats Chianti Classico (4/1) and Inothewayurthinkin (5/2) have the best profiles.

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 86% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Career Bumper Runs: 2-3 = 86% Career Bumper Wins: 1 = 86% Days: 21+ = 86% Avoided Cheltenham: = 86% LTO: 1-5 = 100% OR: S.D = 108+ Mean = 115+ RPR: S.D = 104+ Mean = 113+ Significant Stats: No Sig Stats Winner analysis: Baby Kate (5/2), Listentoyourheart (16/1) and Metkayina (16/1) have the best-looking profiles. I’ve backed the latter two EW.

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Distance: 85% Runs: 2+ = 100% OR: 129-149 S.D. 131-142 Weight: 9-9 – 11-10 S.D = 10-2 – 11-4 Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 FR 7+ IRE Significant Stats: No sig stats. Winner analysis: Five horses on the stats shortlist and they are, Whiskeywealth (7/1), Heltenham (8/1), Black Gerry (16/1), , Homme Public (16/1), and Irish Blaze (16/1).

Win Stats: Age: 8-11 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% LTO: 1-3 = 80% Hunter Chase Runs: 1-3 = 90% Days: 0-59 = 100% OR: Mean 134+ Significant Stats: Slight positive is a Cheltenham Foxhunters run. Winner analysis: A poor stats race in truth, however, using the limited stats available Time Leader (13/2) has a strong profile and looking through his form I have backed EW.