Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Bred: IRE, GB, USA = 94% Season Runs: 0-1 = 100% Career Runs: 2-6 = 100% LTO: 1-3 = 100% Group: 1-3 = 89% OR: S.D = 113+ Mean = 118+ Stallion index: 7.4 – 11.7 S.D. 8.7 – 11.7 Significant Stats: OR 113+ Days 20+ SR 0-1 CR 2-6 Group 1-3 Stallion index 8.7+ Winner analysis: Six significant stats to get stuck into for the first Classic of the season. Wembley (7/2) meets 5/6 of the sig stats and warrants respect. I particularly liked the way he stayed on in the National Stakes last year and think that piece of form will be strong all season. Thunder Moon (9/2) meets all 6 and is a horse I’ve backed ante post and I really like his chances. One Ruler (10/1) is another who meets all 6 sig stats, however my concern is that Buick has opted for his stablemate. Lucky Vega (12/1) is another who meets all 6 and is another horse I backed recently and I’m pleased to see money come in for him. Finally, Van Gogh (14/1) meets 5 sig stats, although I see him mor...

Win Stats: Age: 6-8 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Runs: 1-6 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 94% Distance: = 94% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 152+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: The fav misses the days stat having picked up a minor injury prior to Cheltenham, which means Captain Guinness (6/1) and Janidil (6/1) have the best profiles. Again, probably not a betting heat for me.  

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: 1-5 = 92% Days: 20-59 = 87% OR: S.D = 150+ Mean = 158+ Significant Stats: Age – Avoid 5 yr old's. LTO 1-5 Winner analysis: The two at the head of the market have the best profiles and meet both significant stats, and if the going remains good (they are due some showers) then Flooring Porter (9/4) should be tough to beat. Beacon Edge (11/2) travelled well for a long way at Cheltenham and providing it hasn’t taken too much out of him should be thereabouts again. On a personal note I’ve been a fan of Ronald Pump and that form, staying on behind Honeysuckle looks pretty good. In all honesty I’m not sure I’ll be having a bet as the stats don’t seem to be that strong and I'm torn between the three mentioned....Tricast perhaps ;p

Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Runs: 4+ = 92% Days: 0-59 = 100% 0-39 = 83% OR:   120-150 S.D 120-143 Weight: S.D. 9-10 – 11-2 Cross tab Age Bred: F 7-8 IRE 7-10 Significant Stats: Bred IRE/FR Winner analysis: Loads of horses on the shortlist based on the sig stat and the generals. Mortal (100/1), Embittered (8/1), Black Op (8/1), Snugsborough Hall (16/1), Dunvegan (11/1), Fitzhenry (33/1), Cross My Mind (18/1), Jack Hackett (40/1), Thatsy (14/1) and Foxy Jacks (28/1). I’ll be backing a few EW with enhanced places and the ones I’ve got my eye on are Mortal, who has dropped to a good mark, Embittered who could be better than his current mark, Cross My Mind who has a few bits of decent form, and Thatsy who whilst is inexperienced, could be better than his mark as well. I’ll look back through all of the shortlist again to double check.

Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 92% Runs: 2-7 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 100% Cheltenham Run: = 75% Grade: 1 or 2 = 100% 1 =81% Distance: 24f+ = 81% Course: = 81% OR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 165+ Significant Stats: Age 7-9 Winner analysis: Most meet the sig stat except Fakir D’oudairies. Kemboy (4/1) has the best profile and at the price I’m willing to have a nibble. Course and ground will suit and he did win the last renewal of this race. Al Boum Photo (6/4) is next best, the only minor negative is that he isn’t a course winner, I’d also be worried that he had a hard race at Cheltenham LTO.

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 92% Bred: IRE = 92% Runs: 3+ = = 100% Days: 0-59 = 100% OR: S.D = 132+ Mean = 142+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Little to go on, however it does appear you need a horse with a recent run and IRE bred. Stattler (8/1) and Tellmesomethinggirl (13/2) have the best profiles and I’ve backed both half a point EW.

Win Stats: Age: 6-7 = 89% Bred: IRE, FR, = 89% LTO: 1-5 = 89% Days: 0-59 = 100% Runs: = 4+ 100% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 149+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-7 FR 7 IRE Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Again, another small field but this looks a cracker. Whilst Monkfish (11/10) didn’t jump as well as he has done previously he remains unbeaten over fences and does have the best profile. Envoi Allen (5/4) blemished his profile LTO with an uncharacteristic fall and that stat is a negative. I personally won’t be having a bet just watching the race and enjoying it.