Significant Horse Racing Stats

Superb four days of racing on the Knavesmire and it was great to back on the course again soaking in the atmosphere.  In total there were 13 significant stats with 10 being upheld, once again narrowing the field down to help find winners and decent priced placed horses. Winners and placed horses highlighted on the blog using the stats were (advised prices or SP used): Royal Patronage 25/1 SP Mishriff 9/4 SP Acardian Sunset 5/1 adv Rajinsky placed 20/1 adv Platform Nineteen placed 8/1 adv Flaming Rib 16/1 SP Ever Given 9/2 adv Fox Champion placed 25/1 SP Snowfall 8/15 SP Lusail 3/1 adv Gis A Sub placed 16/1 adv Winter Power 9/1 SP Real World 11/10 adv Sonnyboyliston 11/1 adv There are a few races coming up over the next couple of weeks I'll be looking at and if there is anything worthwhile I will put it up. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-6 = 94% Runs: 1-5 = 94% Bred: GB, IRE = 89% Distance: 12f-16f = 94% Draw S.D. 8-20 OR: 96 - 109 Weight: 8-10 - 9-9 Significant Stats: Draw 8-20 was vey close but no sig stats Winner analysis: The Irish horse Sonnyboyliston (11/1), Global Storm (12/1), Tribal Craft (12/1) and Max Vega (28/1) have the best profiles and I'll be looking at these four closer to the off after seeing how much we get. On a side note I have backed Murtaghs other horse, Mirann ante post and expect a decent run based on his staying on 4th at Royal Ascot and he won't mind the forecast rain either.   That's it for this week, hope people have managed to back a few winners using the stats and I'll write a review over the next few days.  

Win Stats: Age: 3-5 = 91% Runs: 2+ = 100% Distance: = 82% Group: 3 - none =91% Draw 2-8 OR S.D. 105+ Mean 109+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Another race was limited stats to focus on. Primo Bacio (3/1) is another I backed a week ago, this time at slightly bigger prices and I think she only has the fav to beat. Sir Busker (10/1) and Pogo (16/1) also have strong profiles and look solid EW bets. 

Win Stats: Runs: 2+ = 100% Bred: GB, IRE = 92% Distance: 10f+ = 92% Days: 0-39 = 85% Weight: S.D. 8-6 - 9-4 OR 84-96 Draw 1-15 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Summers Knight (10/1) has a strong profile and is on a roll, his 8lb rise is far from ideal though. Marshall Plan (16/1) also has a strong profile and the trainer has indicated that they are expecting a good run. whilst Tashkan (16/1) is another with a good profile and the forecast rain will be in his favour. Finally, Annadale is the last horse to have the strongest profile and I can see him attempting to make all from his inside draw.   

Win Stats: Age: 3-5 = 94% Runs: 2+ = 94% Distance: 8-10f = 94% Group: 3 - none = 88% OR S.D. 109+ Mean 112+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Very little to go so caution needed, however Real World (11/10), My Oberon (5/1), and El Drama (7/1) are the three to focus on from the stats perspective. I did back MO last week at shorter prices than he is now!

  Win Stats: Age: 3-7 = 88% Runs: 2-6 = 94% Bred: GB, IRE = 88% Distance: = 94% Days: 20-59 = 88% LTO: 1-5 =88% Draw 1-13 OR S.D. 106+ Mean 113+ Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Strange for a Group 1 race not to have any sig stats. Winter Power (7/1) and Suesa (3/1) have the best profiles. 

Win Stats: Runs: 2-6 = 94% LTO: 1-5 =100% Born: Feb-May = 94% Days: 20-59 = 94% OR Min 100+ Sire index: 6 - 9.3 Dams sire index: 7 - 11.4 S.D. 7.7+ Significant Stats: Days 20-59 Dams sire index 7.7+ Winner analysis: There quite a few horses that meet both sig stats and the ones catching my eye are, Lusail (3/1), Gis A Sub (12/1) and Eldrickjones (16/1).