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Royal Ascot Review

Firstly, I would like to say thank you for the amount visitors to the page and for some of the messages I received. Secondly, I can say I thoroughly enjoyed watching Royal Ascot this year, despite my preference for the NH and feel like I am getting a better understanding of the key significant stats for flat racing. This year I completed the stats for RA early and used them to have quite a few ante post bets, some of which came in which ensured a nice healthy profit. The significant stats this year performed exceptionally well helping to narrow down the fields. I appreciate that sometimes a fair number of horses meet the significant stats but every little helps, especially in big field races. In total there were 34 sig stats and 29 were upheld, 2-year-old races were the weakest with three races not meeting the sig stats. The Gold Cup winner missed a sig stat, however, as pointed in the write up, Kyprios had not attempted 16f+ so had no chance to meet it, whilst the Britannia handicap...

Wokingham Stakes

Win Stats: Age: 4-6 = 89% Days: 0-59 = 88% Distance: = 89% LTO: 1-6 = 89% OR: S.D 96-106 Weight: S.D 8-12 – 9-7 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: 12 horses meet all of the general stats showing what a wide open race this is and how competitive it always is. Silver Samurai (7/1) comes here in fine form and is top rated with Advanced Rating (rating I receive) so I've backed EW. First Folio (16/1) has some strong 3 yr old form and I'm tempted to back EW, whilst I will also look to back one with a high draw, possibly Blackrod (9/1) or Popmaster (16/1) but I will look back through. 

Platinum Jubilee Stakes

Win Stats: Age: 3-7 = 100% Runs: 1+ = 95% Days: 0-59 = 90% Group: 1-listed = 100% 1-3 = 90% Distance: = 95% OR: S.D 111+ Mean 116+ Significant Stats: Group 1-3 Winner analysis: Most horses have won at group 1-3 level and meet the sig stat. A Case Of You (28/1) and Alcohol Free (25/1) have the strongest general profiles and I've backed EW with enhanced places. I have backed Creative Force ante post but I'm concerned about the drift and his stall 1 draw. 

Hardwicke Stakes

Win Stats: Age: 4-6 = 100% Runs: 1-3 = 90% Group: 1-3 = 95% Distance: = 85% OR: S.D 113+ Mean 116+ LTO: 1-3 = 90% Significant Stats: OR 114+ Winner analysis: The fav Hurricane Lane (5/6) meets the sig stats and is clear on the ratings and if fully wound up for his first run should win. Broome (11/2) meets the sig stat and is the obvious danger and looks an EW bet to nothing. Finally Mostahdaf (10/1) who is stepping up in trip also meets the sig stat.  

Jersey Stakes

Win Stats: Runs: 1-6 = 95% Days: 0-59 = 89% Group: Avoid group 1 = 100% OR: S.D 103+ Mean 109+ Draw: 4-20 Significant Stats: OR 109+ Winner analysis: Noble Truth (9/2), Star Gilrs Aalmal (5/1), Dubawi Legend (10/1), Alfalia (10/1), Rocchigiani (14/1), and Toimy Son (22/1) all meet the sig stat and have similar profiles. I currently don't have a strong view on any of them and will need to have another look through the form this morning. 

Chesham Stakes

Win Stats: Runs: 1-2 = 100% Days: 10-40 = 100% Pref 16-40 LTO: 1-5 = 100% 1-3 = 90% Sire Index: 8.1+ Pref 8.6+ Dams Sire Index: 7+ Pref 7.8+ Best RPR: Mean 86+ Significant Stats: Runs 1-2 Sire index 8.6+ High 9.8+ Winner analysis: Four horses meet both the significant stats and have strong general profiles. Alfred Munning (11/10) who looked impressive last time out, Alzahir (9/1) who should have learnt a lot from his debut run, Finn's Charm (16/1) who I think will like the ground and One World (20/1). 

King Edward VII Stakes

Win Stats: Runs: 1-6 = 95% Days: 0-59 = 95% Bred: GB, IRE, USA = 100% Distance: 8-12f = 95% OR: Mean 106+ Significant Stats: OR 100+ Pref 109+ Winner analysis: There are two horses I like based on the sig stat, the fav Changingoftheguard (15/8) and Dark Moon Rising (28/1) who I think is overpriced based on the Dante form.