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Grand National Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 8-11 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, = 95%  Days: 20-84. S.D. 20-52 Runs: 3+ = 100% Chase Runs: 1-5 = 95% Distance 24f+ = 90% BRPR: 144+ OR: 136-160 S.D. 139-153 Weight: 10-3 – 11-9 S.D. 10-5 – 11-3 Crosstab Age/Bred: FR 9-11 IRE 8-11 Significant Stats: Runs 3+ High 4+ Winner analysis: Using the high sig stat and the generals I've produced a shortlist of Delta Work (9/1), Lifetime Ambition (33/1), Longhouse Poet (20/1), Franky Du Berlais (100/1), Roi Mage (40/1), Diol Ker (80/1) and Eva's Oskar (80/1). I've thrown a few quid on the exchanges at some of the bigger priced horses and will look to back a few of the others EW with enhanced places. 

William Hill Handicap Chase (Registered As The Freebooter Handicap Chase) 4:15 Aintree

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20-59 = 89% Runs: 3+ = 89% OR: 123-149 S.D. 132-145 Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D. 10-6 – 11-5 Significant Stats: Cheltenham run slight positive Winner analysis: Eight horses meet the general stats and all are worth looking at in more detail. When applying the sig stat Nassalam (7/1), Beauport (7/1), Shakeem Up'Harry (8/1) and K Phillipe (16/1) come out best. 

Liverpool Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20+ = 94% 20-59 = 89% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Grade: 1 or 2 = 94% OR: S.D. 156+ Mean 164+ Season RPR: S.D. 156+ Mean 164+ Significant Stats: OR 157+  Season RPR 158+ Bred FR minor positive Winner analysis: Sire Du Berlais (13/2) meets all three sig stats and won this last year and looks to have a decent EW shout especially with the enhanced places on offer. The other main contenders meet the two strong sig stats including Flooring Porter (5/1), Maries Rock (9/2) and Home By The Lee (9/2) and these three horses also have the strongest general profiles. A strong looking race and one that appears tricky to solve. 

Mersey Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: 1-6 = 94% Days: 20-59 = 100% 20-39 = 89% Runs: 3-5 = 89% OR: S.D. 139+ Mean 147+ Season RPR: S.D. 146+ Mean 151+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5 FR 5-7 IRE/GB Significant Stats: SRPR 145+ OR 142+ Chelt run in Supreme or Ballymore Positive correlation  between Pos, OR (147), SRPR (149) Winner analysis: Three strong sig stats and a correlation. Hermes Allen (4/1) meets all three and the correlation, Dark Raven (4/1) meets all three as does Irish Point (7/1). Wouldn't put anyone off backing any of them however I'll be looking to get the two Irish horses on side. 

3 mile Handicap Hurdle 2:25 Aintree

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 95% Days: 20+ = 95% OR: 128-150 S.D. 129-142 Weight: 10-4 – 11-12 S.D = 10-9 – 11-5 Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats. Winner analysis: Limited stats to use, however using the general stats above narrows the field down to Viva Ardenza (16/1), Party Business  (20/Bardenstown Lad (20/1), West Bilboa (7/1), G O Gold (33/1), O Peter (12/1), P Poet (33/1), G Coast (50/1), M Hunter (20/1).  

Maghull Novices' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 6-8 = 89% Days: 0-59 = 94% Runs: 3+ = 94% Distance: 100% OR: S.D. 146+ Mean 155+ Season RPR: S.D. 151+ Mean 161+ Significant Stats: OR 153+ Grade 1 or 2 SRPR 159+ Winner analysis: Jonbon (1/3) is the only horse to meet all three sig stats and is clearly the one to beat. I'll be doubling up with a few bets throughout the day. 

Conditional Jockeys' And Amateur Riders' Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 92%  Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Days: 0-39 = 92% Runs: 3+ = 92% OR: S.D 127-141 Crosstab Bred/Age: FR/GB 4-6 IRE 6+   Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Poor stats race in general but applying the above provides a shortlist of Homme Public (25/1), Knickerbockerglory (12/1), A D Kind (40/1), Punctuation (18/1), Fruit N Nut (20/1), and Blueking D'Oroux (16/1).