Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 95% Bred: IRE/FR/GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Days: 20+ = 95% Chelt Run: = 85% Grade: 1 = 100%  OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 162+ Season RPR: S.D = 161+ Mean = 166+ Significant Stats: Season RPR 161+ 167+ OR 158+ Grade 1 Winner analysis: Traditionally this goes to a previous Grade 1 winner who has shown some decent level of form in the season. The top two in the market, Bob Olinger (15/8) and Impaire Et Passe (6/4) meet the three sig stats and look the ones to focus on. Impaire Et Passe (6/4) has been well backed over the last couple of days and has slightly the better general profile.

Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 90% Distance: = 95% Days: 20-59 = 90% Grade: 1-2 = 95% OR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 167+ Season RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 171+ Significant Stats: Age 8-10 Winner analysis: All bar Corbett’s Cross meet the sig stat. Shiskin (11/4), Gerri Colombe (7/4) and Bravemansgame (10/1) have the best profiles.  GC ran a stormer in the Gold Cup but will that have taken it’s toll? Shiskin is interesting however I’d be waiting to see how Sir Gino runs before parting with any cash, with question marks over the Henderson yard still, while Bravemansgame looks to have a bit to find on Gold Cup form. May just leave the race alone.

Win Stats: Runs: 2-7 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, USA, GB = 100% Cheltenham run: Yes = 85% Days: 20-59 = 90% Grade: 1-listed = 92% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+ Season RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+ Significant Stats: Grade 1-3 Cheltenham run. Hurdle Runs 3+ Season RPR 134+ 143+ high. Correlation between position, runs (3+), grade (1-3) Chelt run & SRPR (143+) Winner analysis: Kargese (11/4) is the only horse to meet all four sig stats and she has shown strong consistent form all year. Next best is Nurburging (8/1) is next best on the stats and looks a solid alternative to the selection.

Welcome to this year’s Aintree Festival significant horse racing stats. Just like the Cheltenham stats, the focus will be on the significant stats to help narrow down the field. Win Stats: Age: 6-8 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR = 86% Runs: 4-6 = 93% LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 100% Days: 20+ = 100% OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 151+ Season RPR: S.D = 155+ Mean = 158+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-8 IRE Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: A disappointing field for a Grade 1 and with no significant stats it makes limited appeal from a betting perspective for me. Ginnys Destiny (9/2) and Il Etait Temps (3/1) have the best general profiles.

An outstanding week in terms of the racing and punting. Some lovely ante post bets landed, on top of the significant stats helping to find more winners. Tuesday: There were 14 sig stats on Tuesday and 13 were upheld, the only one not upheld was in the Arkle with the winner not being LTO 1-2. The sig stats helped narrow down the fields and Slade Steel, State Man, Lossiemouth and Corbetts Cross were all highlighted in terms of meeting them. Gaelic Warrior was highlighted as meeting 4/5. Away from the sig stats on Tuesday, the general stats pointed to Chianti Classico and Irish Point with the former winning nicely and the latter running a fine race to be second in the Champion Hurdle. Wednesday: 7/11 sig stats were upheld with the Champion Chase being the race which let them down with Captain Guinness's win. Away from that, Ballyburn, Fact to File, Langer Dan and Sa Fureur EW were all highlighted as having strong profiles.  Thursday: 10/12 sig stats were met on what is usually a tough...

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 83% Bred: IRE, FR = 92% Runs: 2-5 = 92% Days: 20+ = 100% LTO: 1-6 = 100% Season:  Novice or 2 nd  = 92% OR: 135-145 S.D 137-144 Weight: S.D 11-3 – 11-9 Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-7 IRE Significant Stats: OR 137+  Weight 11-2+ LTO 1-4 Winner analysis: Using the sig stats and the general stats narrows the field down to four horses. Quai De Bourbon (7/2) who I have backed ante post, Better Days Ahead (10/1), Whats Up Darling (16/1) and Yeats Star (20/1). Two other horses meet the sig stats and worth considering are Answer To Kayf (9/1) and No Ordinary Joe (9/1). Once again that is it for this year. I hope you have found plenty of winners using the significant stats. Aintree up next.

Win Stats: Age: 7-11 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Hunter Chase Runs: 1-4 = 100% Days: 20-59 = 100% OR: Mean 136+ Significant Stats: No significant stats. Winner analysis: A poor race for stats due to the fact data is limited. Top three in the market all have obvious chances, Ferns Lock (11/4), Its On The Line (9/4) and Premier Magic (13/2). PM won this last year and has strong Cheltenham form so looks a fair EW play.