Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

EW Stats:

Age: 5-8 = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98%

Runs: 2-5 = 94% 3-5 = 85%

LTO: 1-3 = 90%

Days: 20+ = 98%

OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+

RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 145+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR/GB 5-8 IRE

EW Analysis:

The Irish horses OR’s will all need checking after the 5-day decs. A host of horses have good EW profiles including the fav Stattler (5/1), however at the prices I like Torygraph (8/1), Barbados Bucks (13/2) and Farouk D’alene (16/1). Not sure the latter will turn up as reports suggested he had a minor setback and was struggling to make it.

 

Win Stats:

Age: 5-8 = 100% 5-7 – 94%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 3-4 = 87%

LTO: 1-3 = 94%

OR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 145+

RPR: S.D = 141+ Mean = 147+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5 FR/GB 6-7 IRE

Significant Stats:

No significant stats

Winner analysis:

Torygraph and Stattler have the best profiles and I’ve backed Torygraph EW. Next best are Barbados Bucks and Threeunderthrufive however I will hold back off backing another horse until OR’s are confirmed.


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Supreme Novices' Hurdle

Grand National Handicap Chase

Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices' Chase