Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
EW Stats:
Age:
5-8 = 100%
Bred:
IRE, FR, GB = 98%
Runs:
2-5 = 94% 3-5 = 85%
LTO:
1-3 = 90%
Days:
20+ = 98%
OR:
S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+
RPR:
S.D = 138+ Mean = 145+
Crosstab
Age/Bred: 5-7 FR/GB 5-8 IRE
EW Analysis:
The
Irish horses OR’s will all need checking after the 5-day decs. A host of horses
have good EW profiles including the fav Stattler (5/1), however at the prices I
like Torygraph (8/1), Barbados Bucks (13/2) and Farouk D’alene (16/1). Not sure
the latter will turn up as reports suggested he had a minor setback and was
struggling to make it.
Win Stats:
Age:
5-8 = 100% 5-7 – 94%
Bred:
IRE, FR, GB = 100%
Runs:
3-4 = 87%
LTO:
1-3 = 94%
OR:
S.D = 139+ Mean = 145+
RPR:
S.D = 141+ Mean = 147+
Crosstab
Age/Bred: 5 FR/GB 6-7 IRE
Significant Stats:
No
significant stats
Winner analysis:
Torygraph
and Stattler have the best profiles and I’ve backed Torygraph EW. Next best are
Barbados Bucks and Threeunderthrufive however I will hold back off backing
another horse until OR’s are confirmed.
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