Grand Annual Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 6-11 = 93%

Runs: 2-5 = 93%

Distance: = 100%

Days: 20+ = 100%

OR: 136 - 152 S.D 139 – 149

Weight: 10-2 – 11-10 S.D 10-10 – 11-6

Hurdles OR: Mean 134+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR/GB 7-11 IRE

EW Analysis:

Cleansed the data for this race and played about with a few variables as I wasn’t happy with it over the last couple of years. The stats for this race also need to be treated with caution due to the race switching courses.

Quite a few horses meet the EW stats and need a further look and they are Chosen Mate (14/1) who won this last year and looks to have been laid out for a repeat and the stable have opted to put a claimer on board taking 7lb off. Us And Them (16/1) who ran a funny race in this last year finishing a staying on 3rd. Zanza (15/2), Embittered (6/1), Entoucas (8/1) and Glen Forsa (22/1) are the other horses who hit all of the EW stats.

 

Win Stats:

Age: 6-9 = 90% 7-9 = 80%

Bred: IRE, FR, GER = 100% IRE, FR = 90%

Runs: 2-5 = 90% 2-4 = 80%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Distance: = 100%

OR: 138-150 S.D 139-148

Weight: 10-2 – 11-8 S.D 10-9 – 11-6

Hurdles OR: Mean 134+

Significant Stats:

No significant stats

Winner analysis:

Four horses meet the stats, Us And Them, Glen Forsa, Embittered and Zanza. Not fully committed to what I’ll be backing yet as I’d definitely want to see how the ground is riding however my eye does keep getting drawn back to the two O’Brien horses.

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