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Showing posts from December, 2021

King George VI Chase 3:05 Kempton

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 90%  Bred: IRE, FR, = 90% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Days: 20+ = 95% Runs: = 1-3 86% Distance: = 85% OR: S.D = 165+ Mean = 171+ Significant Stats: OR 165+ Winner analysis: This is a much more competitive renewal than the last couple of years which is great to see. This race generally goes to a horse with a high OR already and in recent years horses aged 6-8. Three horses meet the significant stat, CDO (3/1), Minella Indo (10/3) and Frodon (6/1). Minella Indo comes out slightly better when applying the general stats and I've backed him ante post. Whilst Chantry House doesn't meet the significant stat he is a horse who looks like he could improve beyond his current rating and is another I've backed EW.  In other races that I've analysed, Epatante and Not So Sleepy meet both significant stats in the Christmas Hurdle, whilst at Wetherby, Good Boy Bobby, Silver Hallmark, and Empire Steel have the best general profiles in the Royland Meyrick.

Tingle Creek Chase 2:25 Sandown

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 86%  Bred: IRE, FR, = 93% LTO: 1-3 = 86% Days: 20+ = 100% Runs: = 0-1 86% Grade 1 or 2 winner = 100% Grade 1 = 79% Distance: = 100% OR: S.D = 161+ Mean = 169+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 8-9 IRE Significant Stats: OR 167+ Winner analysis: The three horses at the top of the market meet the significant stat and it should pay to focus on them. CPS comes out slightly best on the general stats however I'm not going to have a bet at such short price. No bet for me but good luck if you are using the stats.