Stayers' Hurdle

EW Stats:

Age: 6-10 = 92%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98%

Runs: 2-5 = 92%

Days: 21+ = 100% 40+ = 85%

LTO: 1-4 = 92%

Grade: 1 or 2 = 90%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 93%

Distance: 20f+ = 95%

Left-handed win: = 95%

OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 161+

Season RPR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 161+

EW Analysis:

Ballyburn (12/1) offers the strongest each‑way profile against the historical stats, though he does need to bounce back from an unconvincing run last time out.

Win Stats:

Age: 6-9 = 90%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 2-5 = 90%

Days: 21+ = 100% 40+ = 90%

Distance: = 80%

Distance: 20f+ = 93%

LTO: 1-4 = 95% 1-2 = 80%

Grade: 1 or 2 = 100%

Left-handed win: 100%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 93%

OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 162+

Season RPR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 164+

Significant Stats:

Season RPR 159+ high 164+

Winner analysis:

Teahupoo (5/2) matches the high‑end significant RPR stat and has the most statistically strong profile at the top of the market.

Last year’s winner Bob Olinger also meets the Season RPR 159 benchmark, as do Home By The Lee (33/1), Impose Toi (14/1), and Ballyburn (meets high stat).

I’ve backed Home By The Lee for this race the last two years and would be gutted to see him win now—though I won’t be touching him this year. Overall, this isn’t a race I’ve formed any real position in, and at the moment I don’t have a strong conviction about any of the runners. There should be extra places available on the day so I will look to take advantage of this.

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