Significant Horse Racing Stats

Win Stats: Age: 8-11 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, = 95%  Days: 20-84. S.D. 20-52 Runs: 3+ = 100% Chase Runs: 1-5 = 95% Distance 24f+ = 90% BRPR: 144+ OR: 136-160 S.D. 139-153 Weight: 10-3 – 11-9 S.D. 10-5 – 11-3 Crosstab Age/Bred: FR 9-11 IRE 8-11 Significant Stats: Runs 3+ High 4+ Winner analysis: Using the high sig stat and the generals I've produced a shortlist of Delta Work (9/1), Lifetime Ambition (33/1), Longhouse Poet (20/1), Franky Du Berlais (100/1), Roi Mage (40/1), Diol Ker (80/1) and Eva's Oskar (80/1). I've thrown a few quid on the exchanges at some of the bigger priced horses and will look to back a few of the others EW with enhanced places. 

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20-59 = 89% Runs: 3+ = 89% OR: 123-149 S.D. 132-145 Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D. 10-6 – 11-5 Significant Stats: Cheltenham run slight positive Winner analysis: Eight horses meet the general stats and all are worth looking at in more detail. When applying the sig stat Nassalam (7/1), Beauport (7/1), Shakeem Up'Harry (8/1) and K Phillipe (16/1) come out best. 

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20+ = 94% 20-59 = 89% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Grade: 1 or 2 = 94% OR: S.D. 156+ Mean 164+ Season RPR: S.D. 156+ Mean 164+ Significant Stats: OR 157+  Season RPR 158+ Bred FR minor positive Winner analysis: Sire Du Berlais (13/2) meets all three sig stats and won this last year and looks to have a decent EW shout especially with the enhanced places on offer. The other main contenders meet the two strong sig stats including Flooring Porter (5/1), Maries Rock (9/2) and Home By The Lee (9/2) and these three horses also have the strongest general profiles. A strong looking race and one that appears tricky to solve. 

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: 1-6 = 94% Days: 20-59 = 100% 20-39 = 89% Runs: 3-5 = 89% OR: S.D. 139+ Mean 147+ Season RPR: S.D. 146+ Mean 151+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5 FR 5-7 IRE/GB Significant Stats: SRPR 145+ OR 142+ Chelt run in Supreme or Ballymore Positive correlation  between Pos, OR (147), SRPR (149) Winner analysis: Three strong sig stats and a correlation. Hermes Allen (4/1) meets all three and the correlation, Dark Raven (4/1) meets all three as does Irish Point (7/1). Wouldn't put anyone off backing any of them however I'll be looking to get the two Irish horses on side. 

Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 95% Days: 20+ = 95% OR: 128-150 S.D. 129-142 Weight: 10-4 – 11-12 S.D = 10-9 – 11-5 Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats. Winner analysis: Limited stats to use, however using the general stats above narrows the field down to Viva Ardenza (16/1), Party Business  (20/Bardenstown Lad (20/1), West Bilboa (7/1), G O Gold (33/1), O Peter (12/1), P Poet (33/1), G Coast (50/1), M Hunter (20/1).  

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 6-8 = 89% Days: 0-59 = 94% Runs: 3+ = 94% Distance: 100% OR: S.D. 146+ Mean 155+ Season RPR: S.D. 151+ Mean 161+ Significant Stats: OR 153+ Grade 1 or 2 SRPR 159+ Winner analysis: Jonbon (1/3) is the only horse to meet all three sig stats and is clearly the one to beat. I'll be doubling up with a few bets throughout the day. 

Win Stats: Age: 4-7 = 92%  Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Days: 0-39 = 92% Runs: 3+ = 92% OR: S.D 127-141 Crosstab Bred/Age: FR/GB 4-6 IRE 6+   Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Poor stats race in general but applying the above provides a shortlist of Homme Public (25/1), Knickerbockerglory (12/1), A D Kind (40/1), Punctuation (18/1), Fruit N Nut (20/1), and Blueking D'Oroux (16/1). 

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 6-7 = 89% Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 94% Days: 0-39 = 89% Runs: 2-6 = 100% OR: S.D 134+ Mean 142+ Season RPR: S.D 143+ Mean 148+   Significant Stats: No significant stats  Winner analysis: While there are no sig stats age and SRPR come fairly close. I prefer looking at 6-7 year olds with at least a SRPR of 140+, based on this criteria and the general stats, Stay Away Fay (3/1) and Grey Dawning (12/1) have the strongest profiles. 

Win Stats: Age: 6-11 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% LTO: Not a winner = 100% Days: 0-39 = 94% Runs: 3+ = 100% OR: 124-152 S.D 129-146 Weight: 10-0–11-8 S.D 10-1–11-3 Significant Stats: Days 0-39 Course experience Winner analysis: Hugely competitive field as always. Burrows Saint (14/1), Battleoverdoyen (50/1), Top Ville Ben (33/1), Batcio (18/1) and Fantastikas (40/1) meet the two sig stats and have experience over the National style fences. While Cooper's Cross (20/1) doesnt have experience over these fences he does have some course form so is also worth looking at. 

Win Stats: Age: 7+ = 94% Bred: IRE, FR = 94% Days: 0-39 = 94% Runs: 3-5 = 94% Cheltenham run: Yes = 94% Cheltenham Race: QM or Ryanair = 94% Grade: 1 = 94% OR: S.D 159+ Mean 168+ Season RPR: S.D 163+ Mean 171+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-10 IRE 6-8 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 163+ Grade 1 OR 160+ 168+ high Days 0-39 Cheltenham run but must be in the QM or Ryanair Winner analysis: 5 sig stats but no horse close to meeting all of them. Fakir D'oudairies (5/2) meets three along with Hitman (5/1) and both of these have the better profiles. If the ground was genuinely good ground I would side with last years winner FD, if it came up very soft Hitman would be my preference. Must admit, this looks a trappy betting race

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% Days: 0-39 = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 90% OR: 128+ S.D 133+ Mean 141+ Season RPR: 133+ S.D 136+ Mean 147+ Avoid grade 1 winners = 100% Significant Stats: SRPR 146+ Distance 16.5/17f+ Winner analysis: Technically only Luccia (11/2) and Inthepocket (9/2) meet the 2 sig stats and both these horses have the best general profiles as well. Away from the stats Altobelli (10/1) for Harry Fry is interesting and posted a strong RPR LTO. 

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB = 94% Runs: 1-5 = 89% Days: 20+ = 89% OR: 124-145 S.D 127-140 Weight: 10-1 – 11-12 S.D 10-5 – 11-3 Significant Stats: Bred FR negative Winner analysis: Using the general stats and the sig stat it produces a shortlist of Tritonic (25/1), Buddy One (10/1), Nells Son (20/1), Fenner Cross (12/1), Harbour Lake (20/1), Pull Again Green (20/1), and Off Your Rocco (25/1). I'll be waiting to see how the ground is riding come Friday before I have a bet. 

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR = 100% Days: 20-59 = 94% Runs: 4-6 = 94% Cheltenham run: Yes = 88% OR: S.D 145+ Mean 152+ Season RPR: S.D 160+ Mean 164+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 IRE 5-7 FR Significant Stats: Season RPR 158+ High 164+ Winner analysis: Three horses meet the sig stat. Gerri Colombe (/). Bronn (7/2) and Galia Des Liteaux (8/1). GC and GDL have the best general profiles and look to be the horses to concentrate on.  

Win Stats: Age: 6+ = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 4+ = 90% OR: 129-149 S.D. 131-141 Weight: 9-9 – 11-10 S.D = 10-1 – 11-2 Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 FR 7+ IRE Significant Stats: OR 141 and under Winner analysis: A number of horses meet the sig stat so using the generals my shortlist includes Hasankey (18/1), Hatcher (18/1), Before Midnight (16/1), Douglas Talking (6/1), Global Citizen (7/1) and Mackenberg (22/1). I've backed Mackenberg EW so far and again I will add a couple more horses on the day EW. I'll be keeping a close eye on the weather and the ground as if it does come up soft I'll expect Global Citizen to shorten up and go well.  

Win Stats: Age: 9-12 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Hunter Chase Runs: 0-3 = 100% Days: 0-59 = 90% OR: Mean 130+ Significant Stats: Slight positive is a Cheltenham Foxhunters run, Winner analysis: A race that has never really produced many clear cut stats. Quite a few horses meet the general stats including Latenightpass (6/1), Winged Leader (4/1), Bennys King (16/1), Magic Saint (14/1), Not That Fuisse (25/1), I K Brunel (28/1), Lough Derg Spirit (28/1) and Dorking Cock (33/1). So far I've taken a punt on Dorking Cock EW at 33's. I'll be looking to back more on the day with enhanced place terms. 

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 95% Bred: IRE/FR/GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 100% Days: 0-39 = 90% Grade: 1 = 100%  OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 161+ Season RPR: S.D = 161+ Mean = 165+ Significant Stats: Season RPR 159+ 165+ Grade 1 Winner analysis: Constitution Hill (1/6) unsurprisingly has the best profile but is a no bet at those odds. Epatante does meet both sig stats however her RPRs suggest she is slightly regressing and she ran a shocker at Cheltenham LTO. Looking at the without fav market I'm tempted to back Zanahiyr (9/4) who has a solid general profile but I shall wait until the day. 

Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 90% Distance: = 95% Days: 20-59 = 90% Grade: 1-2 = 95% OR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 166+ Season RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 170+ LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 90% Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: This is a very strong renewal and a race in which I am looking forward to. With no sig stats to focus on it's hard to be bullish about any particular horse. Bravemansgame (3/1), Conflated (5/1) and Ahoy Senor (11/2) have the best general profiles. Bravemansgame has ran three excellent races this season and providing his Gold Cup run hasn't taken too much out of him should be hard to beat. Conflated has 6.5 lengths to find on Bravemansgame but did run well in this race last year, while Ahoy Senor loves it around here winning two grade 1s and he could be given an easy lead out in front. If the others do give him an easy lead he could be difficult to peg back. Shiskin (3/1) has the distance stat against him and A Plus Tard (7/...

Win Stats: Runs: 2+ = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, USA, GB = 100% Cheltenham run: Yes = 85% Days: 20-59 = 90% Grade: 1 or 2 = 82% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+ Season RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 143+ Significant Stats: Grade 1 or 2 Hurdle Runs 3+ Season RPR 135+ 143+ high Correlation between position, runs (3+), grade (1-2) & season RPR (135+) Winner analysis: No horse meets all three sig stats but there are three horses who meet two. Zenta (7/4) ran a cracker at Cheltenham and looks a worthy fav, indeed she has posted the highest RPR of the field (7lb allowance) and is the only horse to have met the SRPR sig stat. Nusret (11/2) meets two sig stats, as does Scriptwriter (9/1) and both look solid EW bets. I'm quite sweet on the Mullins filly. 

Welcome to this year’s Aintree Festival significant horse racing stats. Just like the Cheltenham stats, the main focus will be on the significant stats to help narrow down the field. Win Stats: Age: 6-8 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 4-6 = 92% LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 100% Days: 20-59 = 92% OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 151+ Season RPR: S.D = 155+ Mean = 158+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-8 IRE Significant Stats: No significant stats Winner analysis: Small field but some there are some classy types in here. Banbridge (7/4), Stage Star (7/4) and Saint Roi (10/3) have the best general profiles. My focus will be on the two Irish horses as I personally think Stage Star was given an easy lead at Cheltenham and was able to dictate his own pace. I've always thought Saint Roi would improve for a step up in trip and Banbridge has been kept fresh waiting for the supposed better ground.