4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle

Win Stats:

Runs: 2+ = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, USA, GB = 100%

Cheltenham run: Yes = 85%

Days: 20-59 = 90%

Grade: 1 or 2 = 82%

OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+

Season RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 143+

Significant Stats:

Grade 1 or 2

Hurdle Runs 3+

Season RPR 135+ 143+ high

Correlation between position, runs (3+), grade (1-2) & season RPR (135+)

Winner analysis:

No horse meets all three sig stats but there are three horses who meet two. Zenta (7/4) ran a cracker at Cheltenham and looks a worthy fav, indeed she has posted the highest RPR of the field (7lb allowance) and is the only horse to have met the SRPR sig stat. Nusret (11/2) meets two sig stats, as does Scriptwriter (9/1) and both look solid EW bets. I'm quite sweet on the Mullins filly. 

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