Melling Chase
Win Stats:
Age: 7+ = 94%
Bred: IRE, FR = 94%
Days: 0-39 = 94%
Runs: 3-5 = 94%
Cheltenham run: Yes = 94%
Cheltenham Race: QM or Ryanair = 94%
Grade: 1 = 94%
OR: S.D 159+ Mean 168+
Season RPR: S.D 163+ Mean 171+
Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-10 IRE 6-8 FR
Significant Stats:
Season RPR 163+
Grade 1
OR 160+ 168+ high
Days 0-39
Cheltenham run but must be in the QM or Ryanair
Winner analysis:
5 sig stats but no horse close to meeting all of them. Fakir D'oudairies (5/2) meets three along with Hitman (5/1) and both of these have the better profiles. If the ground was genuinely good ground I would side with last years winner FD, if it came up very soft Hitman would be my preference. Must admit, this looks a trappy betting race
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