Manifesto Novices' Chase

Welcome to this year’s Aintree Festival significant horse racing stats. Just like the Cheltenham stats, the main focus will be on the significant stats to help narrow down the field.

Win Stats:

Age: 6-8 = 92%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 4-6 = 92%

LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 100%

Days: 20-59 = 92%

OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 151+

Season RPR: S.D = 155+ Mean = 158+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-8 IRE

Significant Stats:

No significant stats

Winner analysis:

Small field but some there are some classy types in here. Banbridge (7/4), Stage Star (7/4) and Saint Roi (10/3) have the best general profiles. My focus will be on the two Irish horses as I personally think Stage Star was given an easy lead at Cheltenham and was able to dictate his own pace. I've always thought Saint Roi would improve for a step up in trip and Banbridge has been kept fresh waiting for the supposed better ground. 

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