Ryanair Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 88% 

Bred: IRE, FR= 93%

Runs: 2-4 = 90% 

Distance: = 93%

Grade: 1-2 = 75%

Days: 21+ = 95%

Chase wins season: 0-2 = 93%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 91%

Placed at previous festival: = 83%

OR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 163+

Season RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 167+

Best RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean 169+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 7-10 IRE

EW Analysis:

Banbridge (7/1) has the most appealing EW profile and if the ground is on the good side I can so no reason why he wouldn’t be there at the finish.

Win Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 95%

Bred: IRE, FR = 90%

Runs: 2-4 = 100%

Course winner: = 85%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Distance: = 100%

Grade: 1-2 = 80%

Chase wins season: 0-3 = 100%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100%

Placed at previous festival: = 86%

OR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 165+

Season RPR: S.D = 165+ Mean = 170+

Best RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean = 172+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 7-10 FR 8-10 IRE

Significant Stats:

OR 161+

Season RPR 165+

Best RPR 166+

Course winner

Positive Correlation between position, OR (166), SRPR (170), BRPR (171), and course winner

Winner analysis:

This race revolves around Fact To File (4/6) and having been nibbling away all year at him in football doubles, I’m hoping he produces the goods. He meets all of the sig stats and the correlation. Banbridge looks to be his main rival and if declared, I will be backing EW.

Updated: Jonbon (15/2) meets the sig stats and is worth considering EW. 

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