Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Win Stats:

Age: 5-6 = 100%

Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100%

Career Bumper Runs: 1-3 = 92% 2-3 = 79%

Season Runs: 1-3 = 92% 1-2 = 79%

Days: 21+ = 93%

LTO: 1st = 100%

OR: S.D = 123+ Mean = 129+

RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 131+

Significant Stats:

OR 124+

RPR 123+

Age 5-6

CBR 2-3

Positive correlation between Pos, OR (130), RPR (128) and CBR (2-3).

Winner analysis:

Bambino Fever was highlighted at 7/1 last year and duly obliged.

The following horses meet the four significant statistics: Keep Him Company (9/1), Bass Hunter (12/1), Broadway Ted (16/1), It’s Only A Game (20/1), Charismatic Kid (25/1), With Nolimit (25/1), and Moonverinn (50/1).

Of these, Broadway Ted is the only runner to meet the key correlation, and at 16/1 he appears potentially overpriced. Gordon Elliott seems to hold a strong hand in the race with multiple contenders fitting the statistical profile.

The favourite, Love Sign Danou (4/1), has the career bumper runs statistic to overcome, although he does satisfy both the OR and RPR trends. He also won comfortably last time out, and is likely to be the mount of Patrick Mullins, which further enhances his claims.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Royal Ascot Day 1

Narrowing the fields using the sig stats and general trends: 2:30 - 3 sig stats and Rosallion (9/4), Lead Artist (5/1) and Notable Speech (5/1) meet all three. 3:05 - 1 sig stat. Power Blue (18/1), Andab (15/2), Gstaad (5/1), Postmodern (11/2), Military Code (6/1), Warsaw (9/1), Gavoo (22/1) and Tricky Tel (50/1) meet it.  3:40 - 3 sig stats. Asfoora (4/1), Mgheera (9/1), and West Acre (16/1) meet all three.  4:20 - 2 sig stats. Field Of Gold (4/5) and Ruling Court (7/2) meet both.  5:00 - 1 sig stat. Manxman (9/1), A L Grande (11/1), Nurburgring (12/1), Ascending (22/1), Saturn (28/1), and Comfort Zone (28/1) meet it and all of the general stats.  5:35 - 1 sig stat. Haunted Dream (12/1), Kings Gambit (8/1) and Ambiente Friendly (22/1) meet it and the general stats.
Read more

Royal Ascot Day 3

2:30 - 1 sig stat.  C Darwin (4/5), H T Blue (33/1), Ameeq (80/1), L Brother (80/1), Exclamation (100/1) and I Fighter (100/1) meet it.       3:05 – No sig stats. S U Song (9/2), Merchant (5/2), O Man (25/1), Gunship (7/1), Ammes (40/1) and Propose (28/1) have the best general profiles. 3:40 - No sig stats. S Prayer (10/3), and G O Eden (9/2) have the best general profiles. 4:20 - 2 sig stats. Trawlerman (5/2), and Candelari (10/3) meet both. 5:00 – 1 sig stat. Fearnot (16/1), Iceford (50/1), Raafedd (15/2), F Column (16/1), A Grey (40/1) and Competizone (33/1). 5:35 – No sig stats. Generals are those at the head of the market T College (3/1), H Stock (9/2), T Alert (17/2), Detain (7/2), and Jackknife (11/2).
Read more

Royal Ascot Day 2

2:30 - 3 sig stats. Zelaina (10/3), Lennilu (8/1), S Hideaway (25/1), S Rose (28/1), S Marg (10/1), and S Kiss (10/1) meet all three and the general stats.   3:05 - 1 sig stat. S Wheel (22/1), Carmers (13/2). Shackleton (4/1), D Advocate (15/2|) and Asmarani (9/2) meet it. Applying generals leaves the last three named.  3:40 - 0 sig stats. R Lion (15/2), C Dream (7/4), and Elmalka (14/1) meet the general stats 4:20 - 1 sig stat. L Angeles (7/4) Anmaat (4/1) and S T Fire (5/1) are only horses to meet it.   5:00 - 1 sig stat. M Cloud (7/2), E Guard (40/1), T Evolvere (66/1), B Point (10/1), Silawi (28/1), U Lion (28/1), F Legacy (10/1), G Order (12/1), Sisyphean (25/1), Tokenomics (20/1), and W Cracker (50/1) meet it.  6:10 – No sig stats. O I Gold (11/2), J Steen (12/1), H Hurricane (9/1), and R Legend meet the general stats. 
Read more