National Hunt Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 6-10 = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB, = 97%

Runs: 2-7 = 95%

OR: Mean = 138+

Season RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 146+

Starting price: 20s or under

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-8 FR 6-10 IRE/GB

EW Analysis:

Not a lot to go on at all and most horses meet the EW stats. This is a race were I will be cleansing the data soon with the new distance and qualifying rules.

Win Stats:

Age: 6-10 = 100% 7-10 = 90%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 90%

Runs: 2-7 = 100%

Days: 21+ = 90%

Starting price: 14s or under

OR: Mean = 138+

Season RPR: S.D = 141+ Mean = 148+

Significant Stats:

Days 20+ high 40+

Winner analysis:

I have analysed other variables but nothing comes up that is worth paying attention to. Royal Pagaille (11/8) meets the stats but I wouldn’t back at that price, especially as he is unproven on the ground. Galvin (3/1) is an ante post selection and also meets the stats however 3/1 is on the short side now. Next Destination (7/1) and Escaria Ten (7/1) are the two who meet the stats that I’d be interested if they are declared.  

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