4-Y-R Old Juvenile Hurdle

Win Stats:

Runs: 2-7 = 100%

Cheltenham run: Yes = 89%

Days: 20+ = 94%

Grade: 1 or 2 = 78%

OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+

Season RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 143+

Significant Stats:

Grade 1 or 2

Runs 3+

Season RPR 143+

Correlation between position, Cheltenham run, runs (3+), grade (1-2) & season rpr (143+)

Winner analysis:

Adagio (2/1) meets the three significant stats and the correlation and brings strong Cheltenham form, indeed he is progressing with each run and has an excellent profile. Monmiral (5/6) also meets the three significant stats and this has been his main target for some time and I’d be astonished if the winner didn’t come from one of these. Dutching would yield around a 17% profit at current exchange prices if one won for those interested.   

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