Melling Chase

Win Stats:

Age: 7-11 = 100% 7-9 = 88%

Bred: IRE, FR = 94%

Days: 20-39 = 88%

Runs: 3-5 = 94%

Cheltenham run: Yes = 100%

Cheltenham Race: QM or Ryanair = 100%

Grade: 1 = 94%

OR: S.D 160+ Mean 168+

Season RPR: S.D 163+ Mean 171+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 8-11 IRE 7-8 FR

Significant Stats:

Season RPR 163+

Grade 1

OR 168+

Days 0-39

Cheltenham run

Cheltenham race QM or Ryanair

Positive correlation between position, OR (168), days (0-39), Chelt run, Chelt race (QM/Ryanair), grade 1, SRPR (163+), runs (3-5).

Winner analysis:

No horse meets all 6 significant stats but Fakir D’Oudairies (11/4) and Notebook (13/2) meet 5 and have the better general profiles as well and I’ll be backing both.    

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