Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

Last ten years’ worth of data.

EW Stats:

Bred: IRE, FR = 87%

Runs: 1-6 = 97%

Days: 21+ = 88%

OR: 124-139 S.D 128-138

Weight: S.D = 10-11 – 11-7

Best RPR:  S.D. 120-137

EW Analysis:

Four horses meet the EW stats which include, Doctor Churchill (50/1), Ebasari (14/1), Britzka (20/1), and HMS Seahorse (11/1). Davy Russell takes the ride on Ebasari which is a major plus as if there is a jockey going to get a horse to travel into a race and produce at the right time, he’s the right man for the job. Paul Nolan knows how to ready a horse for Cheltenham and his HMS Seahorse has been steadily brought along this season and needs looking at, he achieved some pretty good RPRs on the flat. Britzka is another one of Gordon Elliotts and at one point was the ante post favourite for this race.

Win Stats:

Bred: IRE, FR = 90%

Runs: 1-4 = 100% 3-4 = 80%

Days: 21+ = 90% 21-60 = 80%

OR: 125-139 S.D 126-136

Weight: S.D = 10-10 – 11-6

Best SRPR:  120-143

Significant Stats:

OR 125-135 preference 125-132

Winner analysis:

The stats haven’t been particularly strong for this race so we could do with a change in fortunes. The horses that meet the sig stat and all the general stats are Ebasari, HMS Seahorse, Feigh (33/1), and Saint Segal (16/1). Skybet are going 6 places, so I’ll be going EW on some of the selections. For those who are backing Gaelic Warrior, he has a mixed stats profile, a lack of a recent run the obvious concern, however they wanted to protect his handicap mark for a reason, and he could easily bolt up.