Mares' Hurdle

EW Stats:

Age: 6-9 – 91%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 0-5 = 94%

LTO: 1-3 = 88%

Days: 20+ = 91%

Distance: 20/21f = 91%

Grade: 1-listed = 88%

OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 148+

RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 149+

EW Analysis:

A race to confirm OR’s when decs are out.

Stormy Ireland (6/1) has the strongest EW profile and with her trainers record in this race, she looks to have a solid chance. She looks to have been rejuvenated with the switch back to Willie Mullins and her form is strong. Royal Kahala (13/2) has the next best profile however it looks like her target may be the Stayers Hurdle.

Win Stats:

Age: 5-9 = 91%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 0-3 = 91%

Days: 20+ = 91%

LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1st = 82%

Grade: 1-listed = 100% 1-2 = 82%

Distance: 20/21f = 100%

OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 154+

RPR: S.D = 148+ Mean = 155+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB

Significant Stats:

OR 147+

RPR 148+ high sig 155+

Runs 0-3

Grade 1-2

Positive correlation between position, OR (147+), RPR (148+), runs 0-3

Winner analysis:

Stormy Ireland and Echoes In Rain (8/1) meet all four sig stats. EIR is looking more likely for the County Hurdle, but if she did turn up here, I’d certainly be looking to back her, 8/1 NRNB looks a fair bet. Stormy Ireland has the best general profile for the race and as suggested 6/1 is a solid EW bet. Telmesomethinggirl (3/1) is a horse I’ve backed ante post at bigger prices, and she meets three of the sig stats, she misses out on the OR (142) but has run higher RPRs than that so don’t let it put you off too much. Royal Kahala also meets three.   

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