Ryanair Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 6-10 = 100% 7-10 = 89%

Bred: IRE, FR= 93%

Runs: 2-6 = 98% 2-4 = 89%

Distance: = 93%

Days: 21+ = 93%

LTO: 1-5 = 86%

OR: S.D = 156+ Mean = 162+

Season RPR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 166+

Best RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean 168+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 8-10 IRE

EW Analysis:

Conflateds’ (5/1) connections have said that this race will be the aim and he ticks all the EW boxes. He put up an improved effort last time out and should make the frame, 5/1 looks a fair price for EW punters. Fakir Doudairies (10/1) has an excellent EW profile and if he is declared looks a good EW bet as well.

Win Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 93%

Bred: IRE, FR = 93%

Runs: 2-4 = 100%

Course winner: = 87%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Distance: = 100%

OR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 164+

Season RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 169+

Best RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean = 172+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 8-10 IRE

Significant Stats:

OR 160+ High 166+

Season RPR 164+ High 169 +

Best RPR 167+

Course winner

Correlation between position, OR (166), SRPR (164), BRPR (167), and course winner

Winner analysis:

Allaho (8/13) & Fakir Doudairies meet all four of the sig stats and the correlation. It’s obvious Allaho will take all the beating, I will look to include him in some doubles during the week and on the day. If declared, I can’t see Fakir being 10/1 so I’ve taken some EW NRNB. Eldorado Allen (12/1) also meets four sig stats and is interesting as he struggled behind Shiskin a few times over 2 miles but when stepped up in trip appears to have improved. I’ve backed him in the without Allaho market at 7/1 EW hoping that the race will cut up and he will at least finish in the first 4.

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