Ultima Handicap Chase
Win Stats:
Age: 6-11 = 100% 7-9 – 80%
Bred: IRE = 93%
Runs: 2-5 = 93%
LTO: 1-5 = 93%
Days: 0-59 = 87%
Distance: 24f+ = 87%
OR: 129-155 S.D 136-149
Weight: S.D = 10-4 – 11-6
RPR Race: 142+
Cross tab Age/Bred: FR 6 IRE/GB 7-11
Significant Stats:
LTO 1-4
Days 0-59
Winner analysis:
Quite
a few horses on the shortlist after applying both the significant stats. When
applying all the general stats you aren’t left with any horse this has a
perfect profile. Death Duty (12/1) is the horse with the strongest profile, and
I’ll be backing EW first 7 places with Skybet. Nothing else stands out on the
stats.
One
of my ante post bets in this is Tea Clipper (20/1) and with the application of cheekpieces
and a recent wind op I think he will run a big race despite missing one of the
sig stats.
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