4 yr-old Juvenile Hurdle

Win Stats:

Runs: 2+ = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, USA = 95%

Cheltenham run: Yes = 84%

Days: 20+ = 95%

Grade: 1 or 2 = 80%

OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+

Season RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 144+

Significant Stats:

Grade 1 or 2

Runs 3+

Season RPR 139+ 142+ high

Correlation between position, runs (3+), grade (1-2) & season RPR (139+)

Winner analysis:

The fav, Pied Piper (Evs) is the only horse to meet all the significant stats and a repeat of his previous two runs should see him win. Brazil (2/1) meets two of the sig stats and has produced an RPR of 139 so he should be thereabouts as well. I’d be surprised if the winner didn’t come from either of these. PP for me due to proven form at grade 1-2 level.

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