Epsom Oaks Epsom 16:30

Win Stats:

Days: 0-39 = 100%

Season Runs: 1-2 = 96%

Career Runs: 2-9 = 100%

LTO: 1-2 = 87%

Distance: 8f-12f = 87%

Draw: Optimal range 2-15  

OR: S.D = 99+ Mean = 106+

Sire: 8 – 11.9 pref 9+

Significant Stats:

No sig stats

Winner analysis:

No significant stats, so focusing on the generals leaves four horses, Emily Upjohn (11/8), Nashwa (4/1), Tranquil Lady (14/1) and Without The Moonlight (14/1). I do have question marks about all four regarding staying the trip and the ground conditions. The two Gosden horses have shown speed and aren't guaranteed to stay on pedigree, likewise Tranquil Lady, and the ground might not be quick enough for the Godolphin horse. At the prices I've backed Tranquil Lady so far and will wait closer to the off to see whether I'll add another. 

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