Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy

EW Stats:

Age: 5-9 = 95%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98%

Runs: 1-4 = 93% 2-4 = 87%

LTO: 1-3 = 88%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Season wins: 1-3 = 93%

Grade LTO: 1 - listed = 97%

Previous festival experience: = 88%

OR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 163+

RPR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 165+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-8 FR 5-9 IRE/GB

EW Analysis:

Vauban (14/1) and I Like To Move It (16/1) have the best EW profiles away from the front two. May be worth looking at the without markets on the day to see if there is any value in either.

Win Stats:

Age: 5-9 = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 1-4 = 95%

Days: 21+ = 95%

LTO: 1-2 = 90% 1st = 80%

Previous festival experience: = 95%

Grade: 1-2 = 75%

Grade run LTO: 1 - listed = 91%

Season wins: 1-3 = 100%

OR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 165+

RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 166+

Significant Stats:

Season wins 1-3 high 2-3

LTO 1-2. High 1st

Positive correlation between position and previous festival experience.

Winner analysis:

I'm looking for a horse coming into the race in top form and who has previous Festival experience. Constitution Hill (2/5) and State Man (3/1) meet the sig stats and the correlation and have the strongest profile. CH will no doubt be popular in accas on the day. State Man will have to be an exceptional horse to lower his colours. Cracking race awaits.  


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