National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys' Novices' Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 91%

Bred: IRE/FR = 88%

Runs since Sept: 2-7 = 100%

Days: 21+ = 94%

Starting price: 12s or under

OR: S.D. = 140+ Mean = 146+

Season RPR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 146+

Cross Tab Age/Bred: FR 6-8 IRE 6-10

EW Analysis:

There could be some EW value to be had in the regular market and the without GDM market so check both. Churchstonewarrior (7/1), Chemical Energy (7/1), and Minella Crooner (9/1) have the best profiles.

Win Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 91%

Runs since Sept: 2-5 = 100%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Won over 24f+ = 82%

Starting price: 16s or under

OR: S.D. = 143+ Mean = 148+

Season RPR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 149+

Significant Stats:

Days 40+

OR 143+ High 148+

Winner analysis:

A couple of strong sig stats to focus on and Chemical Energy meets both and I've backed EW ante post. The fav GDM (6/5) is one of my bigger ante post winners and he is the only horse that meets the high OR sig stat. Best of the rest on general profiles are Churchstonewarrior and Mahler Mission (6/1). 

Just a note on the days sig stat, I wouldn't let 2-3 days below that worry you to much so don't be put off completely by that. 

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