Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
EW Stats:
Age: 5-8 = 100% 5-7 = 90%
Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98%
Runs: 2-5 = 93%
LTO: 1-3 = 86%
Days: 20+ = 97%
Distance: 19f-24f = 97%
OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 143+
RPR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 144+
Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 5-8 IRE/GB
EW Analysis:
Willie Mullins dominates the betting and he has horses with
outstanding claims. Readin Tommy Wrong (5/1), Dancing City (7/1), High Class
Hero (7/1(, Lecky Watson (12/1) and Mercurey (40/1) all have excellent profiles
for the race.
Win Stats:
Age: 5-7 = 95% 6-7 = 84%
Bred: IRE, FR = 90%
Runs: 2-4 = 95%
LTO: 1-3 = 90%
Days: 21+ = 100%
Distance: 19f-24f = 91%
OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 144+
RPR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 146+
Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-7 IRE/GB
Significant Stats:
Course winner minor
Winner analysis:
Obviously, it is worth looking at the two course winners, Gidleigh Park
(8/1) and Shanagh Bob (10/1) due to meeing the sig stat, however both fall well short on the general stats. All
of the Mullins horses above have strong profiles, it is just deciding which
ones to back!
Comments
Post a Comment