National Hunt Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys' Novices' Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 92%

Bred: IRE/FR = 89%

Runs since Sept: 2-7 = 100%

Days: 21+ = 94%

Starting price: 12s or under

OR: S.D. = 141+ Mean = 147+

Season RPR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 147+

Cross Tab Age/Bred: FR 7-8 IRE 7-10

EW Analysis:

Away from the top two in the market, Salvador Ziggy (9/2) has the best EW profile and has plenty of chase experience which is usually some help in this race.

Win Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 92%

Bred: IRE, FR = 83%

Runs since Sept: 2-5 = 100%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Won over 24f+ = 83%

Starting price: Mean 8s or under

OR: S.D. = 143+ Mean = 148+

Season RPR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 149+

Significant Stats:

OR 143+ High 149+

Winner analysis:

A strong sig stat (OR 149+) and three horses meet it, Corbett’s Cross (15/8), Embassy Gardens (9/4) and Salvador Ziggy. The latter two have achieved higher RPRs this season so have the slightly better profiles. Having backed CC and SZ ante post I am happy with my position in the race.

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