Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy

Win Stats:

Age: 5-9 = 100% 6-8 = 85%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Runs: 1-4 = 95% 2-4 = 90%

Days: 21+ = 100%

LTO: 1st = 85%

Previous festival experience: = 95%

Grade: 1-2 = 85%

Grade: Won a graded race that season =92%

Grade run LTO: 1 - listed = 92%

Season wins: 1-3 = 100% 2-3 = 85%

OR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 166+

RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 167+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-9 IRE/GB

Significant Stats:

Season wins 2+

LTO 1st

OR 162+

BRPR 163+

Positive correlation between position, OR (167) RPR (171+), LTO (1st), season wins (2-3).

Winner analysis:

It is a shame Lossiemouth will not be running but even without her we have a cracking race to look forward to. Con Hill (8/13) and Brighterdaysahead (9/4) meet all the sig stats and the correlation (BDA adjusted figs for mares’ allowance). I personally will not be backing anything, just sitting back, and watching what will hopefully be a classic. Good luck if you do have a bet. 


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