Ryanair Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 8% 

Bred: IRE, FR= 93%

Runs: 2-4 = 89% 

Distance: = 93%

Grade: 1-2 = 75%

Days: 21+ = 95%

Chase wins season: 0-2 = 92%

Grade LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1-2 = 90%

Placed at previous festival: = 85%

OR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 163+

Season RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 167+

Best RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean 169+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 7-10 IRE

EW Analysis:

Last year’s winner Protektorat (11/2) has an excellent EW profile, and I have backed EW again. Djelo (12/1) also has a strong profile and ran a career best RPR last time out.  

Win Stats:

Age: 7-10 = 95%

Bred: IRE, FR = 90%

Runs: 2-4 = 100%

Course winner: = 85%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Distance: = 100%

Grade: 1-2 = 79%

Chase wins season: 0-3 = 100%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100%

Placed at previous festival: = 85%

OR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 165+

Season RPR: S.D = 164+ Mean = 170+

Best RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean = 172+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 7-10 FR 8-10 IRE

Significant Stats:

OR 161+

Season RPR 165+

Best RPR 166+

Course winner

Positive Correlation between position, OR (166), SRPR (170), BRPR (170), and course winner

Winner analysis:

Protektorat meets all the sig stats and is a big player. Fact to File (13/8) meets all the sig stats and the correlation and I have to admit I have a bit 16s about him ante post much earlier in the season.

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