Manifesto Novices' Chase

Welcome to this year’s Aintree Festival significant horse racing stats. Just like the Cheltenham stats, the focus will be on the significant stats to help narrow down the field.

Win Stats:

Age: 6-8 = 93%

Bred: IRE, FR = 87%

Runs: 4-6 = 93%

LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 100%

Days: 20+ = 100%

If ran at Chelt must be in Arkle not Browns = 100%

OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 151+

Season RPR: S.D = 155+ Mean = 158+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-8 IRE

Significant Stats:

Age 6-7

Winner analysis:

The sig stat is no use to us at all, so relying on the general stats, Jango Baie (11/4) and Croke Park (4/1) have the best profiles. 

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