Cheltenham Festival 2026
Welcome to this year’s Cheltenham
Festival Significant Horse Racing Stats page.
For new readers and followers, the
aim of this blog is to provide key statistics and trends for most of the races.
More importantly, it highlights the most significant patterns that may help
narrow large fields down to a smaller group of realistic contenders. Some races
include up to 20 years of historical data, while others—particularly
handicaps—are based on at least the last 10 years of results.
This page is not intended as a
tipping service. Instead, it provides information and insights that readers can
interpret and use however they wish. I will, however, highlight any horses that
I plan to back or have already backed.
If you have any questions,
suggestions, or feedback, feel free to message me on Twitter/X @SigStatsHorses.
Likes, shares, and retweets are always appreciated.
Key
Sig stat – In principle, a
statistically significant result (usually a difference) is one that is unlikely
to have occurred by chance. In other words, the measurement system (including
factors such as sample size and measurement scale) is capable of detecting a difference
with a defined level of reliability.
Sig correlation – A statistical
measure that indicates the degree to which two variables move in relation to
each other.
Runs – Number of runs since
September.
Days – Days since the horse’s last run.
LTO – Last Time Out (the horse’s most recent race).
OR – Official Rating.
RPR – Racing Post Rating.
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