(Coral) Cup Handicap Hurdle

EW Stats:

Age: 5-8 = 85%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% IRE/FR = 88%

Runs: 1-5 = 88%

Days: 21+ = 96%

Season: Avoid novices = 98%

OR: 134-155 S.D 138-149

Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D 10-9 – 11-8

Season RPR: 124+ M 135+

BRPR: 135+ M 139+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 5-9 IRE/GB

EW analysis:

Kopeck De Mee (12/1), Jinko Blue (14/1), Puturhandstogether (16/1), Chart Topper (33/1), and Beckett Rock (40/1) have nice profiles. I have previously backed Jinko Blue.

Win Stats:

Age: 5-8 – 94%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE/FR = 88%

Runs: 1-4 = 81%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Season: Avoid novices = 94%

OR: 135-153 S.D 139-150

Weight: 10-2 – 11-10 S.D 10-10 – 11-8

Season RPR: S.D 136+

Best RPR: S.D 143+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-9 IRE/GB

Significant Stats:

BRPR 4lb above their OR is showing as minor positive correlation (found JDS last year).

Winner analysis:

Focusing strictly on the significant correlation (BRPR ≥ OR + 4), and accounting for claimers where appropriate, the following horses qualify: The Yellow Clay (10/1), Buddy One (50/1), Colonel Mustard (33/1), Kateria (8/1), Franciscan Rock (50/1), Forty Coats (33/1), and HMS Seahorse (50/1).

When applying only the general stats, two runners stand out as having the strongest all‑round fits: The Yellow Clay and Jinko Blue.

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