Mares' Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats:

Age: 5-6 = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100%

Season Runs: 1-4 = 100%

Career Hurdle Runs: 2+ = 90%

Days: 20+ = 100%

Distance: 18f-21f = 80%

LTO: 1-3 = 100%

OR: S.D = 131+ Mean = 138+

Best RPR: S.D = 127+ Mean = 136+

Significant Stats:

Best RPR 128

OR 129

Distance 18f+

Positive correlation between position and OR (135), BRPR (134, and distance (18f+).

Winner analysis:

The favourite, Bambino Fever (4/5), hits all three significant stats. Oldschool Outlaw (4/1) also meets the key stats and produced an impressive RPR last time out; she fits the correlation profile as well. Echoing Silence (12/1) matches the key stats too, and I’ve backed her each-way NRNB. Finally, Place De La Nation (33/1) also ticks three of the criteria.

If declared, I’ll add Oldschool Outlaw each-way on the day.

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