Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats:

Age: 5-7 = 100%

Bred: IRE, FR = 93%

Runs: 2-5 = 86%

Days: 20+ = 100%

LTO: 1-4 = 93%

Season:  Novice or 2nd = 93%

OR: 135-145 S.D 137-145

Weight: S.D 11-3 – 11-9

Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-7 IRE

Significant Stats:

OR 137+ High 140+

Weight 11-3+

LTO 1-4

Winner analysis:

Eight horses make the significant stat shortlist: It’s Bilbo (20/1), Nurse Susan (20/1), Sa Fureur (33/1), Farfromnowhere (40/1), Karl Des Tourelles (40/1), Fiercely Proud (20/1), East India Express (12/1), and De Capo Glory (50/1).

When the broader trends are applied, the field narrows to Karl Des Tourelles, Fiercely Proud, and East India Express.

I’ve backed Karl Des Tourelles, and I also took an early position on Kel Historie a couple of weeks ago, based on him matching two of the most important significant stats.

That wraps it up for another year—happy punting, everyone, and I hope you’re having (and continue to have) a great week.

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