Queen Mother Champion Chase

EW Stats:

Age: 6-11 = 98% 7-10 = 88%

Bred: IRE, FR = 85%

Runs: 1-4 = 93%

Days: 21+ = 100%

Grade: 1-2 = 88%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 98%

OR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 165+

Season RPR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 167+

Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-11 IRE/GB

EW Analysis:

Il Et Temps (5/1) has a perfect EW profile and having backed EW ante post at the start of the season I’m hoping he is bang there. The only minor concern would be his effectiveness around Cheltenham.

Win Stats:

Age: 6-10 = 95%

Bred: IRE, FR = 90%

Runs: 2-3 = 90%

LTO: 1-3 = 85%

Days: 21+ = 100% 21-60 = 85%

Distance: = 100%

Grade: 1-2 = 100%

Chase wins season: 1+ = 90%

Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100%

OR: S.D = 161+ Mean = 169+

Season RPR: S.D = 165+ Mean = 171+

Significant Stats:

OR 161+ 

Grade 1

Season RPR 163+

Grade LTO 1

Correlation between position, OR (168), Grade 1 winner, SRPR (171), grade LTO (1)

Winner analysis:

Il Et Temps meets all four of the significant statistics as well as the key correlation, as does the favourite Majborough (8/11).

Having already backed Majborough ante-post just before the Dublin Racing Festival, I’m satisfied with my position going into the race and won’t be adding any further bets.

L’Eau De Sud (4/1) also meets all four of the significant stats, which will encourage those siding with him. However, my view is that the two Irish runners may ultimately have too much for him.

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