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Showing posts from March, 2025

Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 92% Runs: 2-5 = 92% Days: 20+ = 100% 20-59 = 85% LTO: 1-6 = 100% 1-3 = 85% Season:  Novice or 2nd = 92% OR: 135-145 S.D 137-144 Weight: S.D 11-3 – 11-9 Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 6-7 IRE Significant Stats: OR 137+  Weight 11-2+ LTO 1-4 Winner analysis: Using the three sig stats I get a shortlist of Tounsvistor (50/1), Wodhooh (4/1), No Ordinary Joe (12/1), and No Questions Asked (25/1). I am not interested in Tounsvistor at all so I will focus on the other three. I have backed Taponthego ante post, and I believe he is well handicapped. The fav KDM could be absolutely anything, but you are taking it on trust he is ready to go after such a long layoff. That is a wrap for another year. Once again, I hope you have had a profitable Festival, and it is on to Aintree next. Be lucky.

Challenge Cup Open Hunters' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 7-11 = 100% 8-11 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR = 92% Hunter Chase Runs: 1-4 = 100% Days: 20-59 = 100% OR: Mean 135+ Significant Stats: Age 8-11 Winner analysis: Another poor race for stats so stakes will be small. Its On The Line (5/1), Ryehill (10/1) and Shearer (14/1) have the best-looking trends profile.

Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase

EW Stats: Age: 7-10 = 93% 7-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 88% Runs: 1-4 = 92% 2-4 = 80%   Distance: 24f+ = 80% Days: 21+ = 98% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 87% Festival Experience: = 82% OR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 168+ Best RPR: S.D = 164+ Mean = 172+ EW Analysis : Banbridge (5/1) and Corbetts Cross (20/1) have solid EW profiles, and I will back Banbridge EW on the day. Win Stats: Age: 7-9 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 85% Runs: 1-4 = 95% LTO: 1-6 = 100% 1-2 = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade: 1 = 90% Grade LTO: 1-3 = 92% Festival Experience: = 90% OR: S.D = 164+ Mean = 171+ Best RPR: S.D = 166+ Mean = 174+ Significant Stats: Grade 1 OR 166+ RPR 168+ Days 20+ Winner analysis: Only Galopin Des Champs (8/15) and Banbridge meet all four sig stats. I would love to see GDC emulate Best Mate and win three Gold Cups and will play him in doubles throughout the day with other horses.

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% Runs: 2-5 = 98% LTO: 1-4 = 92% Days: 20+ = 97% Grade LTO: 1-3 = 77% Distance: 19f-24f = 92% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 144+ RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 146+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 5-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Course and distance winner Jet Blue (8/1) has a strong profile, and I am interested in him EW. The Big Westerner (4/1) meets the EW stats, but I am not keen. Wingmen (8/1) and Ballybow (12/1) also have strong profiles, and I have already backed Wingmen ante post. Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 95% 6-7 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-4 = 95% 3-4 = 85% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: 19f-24f = 92% OR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 144+ RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 146+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-7 IRE/GB Significant Stats: Course winner minor Age 6-7 Winner analysis: I am not focussing too much on the sig stat as it is becoming weaker every year. Based on the general stats Jet Blue and Wingmen have the be...

County Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% Runs: 2-4 = 83% Season: 1-3 = 91% Novice/2 nd = 75% LTO: 1-3 = 85% OR: 129-158 S.D 132-146 Weight: S.D 10-5 – 11-5 Significant Stats: OR 144 and under High 139 and under Correlation with Position & LTO (1-4) Winner analysis: Mullins and Skelton have won this nine out of the last ten years so take their horses very seriously. Ethical Diamond (14/1), Pinot Gris (25/1), Kargese (5/1), and McLaurey (8/1) meet the sig stat and correlation and have excellent general profiles. I have already backed Kargese, ED and McLaurey ante post so I am happy with my position.

Triumph Hurdle

EW Stats: Bred: IRE/FR/GB = 97% Season hurdle runs: 1-4 = 92% Career hurdle runs: 1-6 = 97% 2-5 = 81% LTO: 1-2 = 86% Days: 21+ = 94% 21-60 =83% OR: S.D = Min = 128+ S.D = 139+ Mean = 144+ Season RPR: S.D = 132+ Mean = 139+ If Flat bred OR rating: S.D = 73+ EW Analysis : Hello Neighbour (9/2) has the best EW profile away from the top two in the market and with extra places available is a decent EW play. Win Stats: Bred: IRE/FR = 92% Career hurdle runs: 1-4 = 92% Season hurdle runs: 1-3 = 92% LTO: 1-4 = 100% 1-2 = 83% Days: 0-60 = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 92% OR: S.D = 141+ Mean = 147+ Season RPR: S.D = 133+ Mean = 140+ Flat rating: S.D 79+ Significant Stats: Career hurdle runs 1-4. Winner analysis: East India Dock (9/4) has the best general profile and posted an exceptional RPR last time out here at Cheltenham. Lulamba (9/4) has been the talking horse for some time but must improve considerably to get near to EID. Hello Neighbour also has a s...

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% 7-8 = 75% Runs: 2-6 = 100% 3-5 = 83% LTO: = Not a LTO winner = 92% Days: 20+ = 92% OR: 135-145 Season: Novice/2nd season = 92% Significant Stats: Novice or second season chaser Winner analysis: The sig stat helps narrow down the field and when applying the general stats Mint Boy (12/1), Cleatus Poolaw (22/1) and Johnnywho (5/1) come out best. I have been keen on Mint Boy for a while, and I have backed EW.

Plate Handicap Chase

Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, = 92% Runs: 1-5 = 92% Distance: = 100% Days: 20+ = 92% 40+ = 77% OR: 136-149 S.D 138-146 Weight: 10-7 – 11-2 Hurdles OR: 125+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-7 FR 7-10 IRE Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Poor stats race generally. Focussing on the general stats. Il Ridoto (22/1), Masaccio (10/1), Gemirande (12/1) and Jagwar (5/1) have the best profiles. I will be backing Masaccio EW and look to add another on the day.

Stayers' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% Runs: 2-5 = 93% Days: 21+ = 100% LTO: 1-4 = 93% Grade: 1 or 2 = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 92% Distance: 20f+ = 95% Left-handed win: = 95% OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 161+ Season RPR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 161+ EW Analysis : Home By The Lee (13/2) and Bob Olinger (25/1) meet the general EW stats. I have backed the Joesph O’Brien horse so far. Win Stats: Age: 6-9 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 90% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 85% Distance: 20f+ = 92% LTO: 1-4 = 95% Grade: 1 or 2 = 100% Left-handed win: 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 92% OR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 162+ Season RPR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 165+ Significant Stats: Season RPR 159+ Winner analysis: Home By The Lee is the only horse to meet the sig stat and happy to go with him EW. I just hope the race does not turn into a sprint and that there is a strong gallop from the start as that should suit him.

Ryanair Chase

EW Stats: Age: 7-10 = 8%  Bred: IRE, FR= 93% Runs: 2-4 = 89%  Distance: = 93% Grade: 1-2 = 75% Days: 21+ = 95% Chase wins season: 0-2 = 92% Grade LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1-2 = 90% Placed at previous festival: = 85% OR: S.D = 157+ Mean = 163+ Season RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 167+ Best RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean 169+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 7-10 IRE EW Analysis : Last year’s winner Protektorat (11/2) has an excellent EW profile, and I have backed EW again. Djelo (12/1) also has a strong profile and ran a career best RPR last time out.   Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-4 = 100% Course winner: = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 79% Chase wins season: 0-3 = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100% Placed at previous festival: = 85% OR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 165+ Season RPR: S.D = 164+ Mean = 170+ Best RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean = 172+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 7-10 FR 8-10 IRE Significant Stats: OR 161+ Season RPR 1...

Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 6-8 = 80% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-6 = 87% OR: 133-152 S.D 136-146 Weight: 10-1 – 11-12 S.D 10-6 – 11-9 Qualifying rating: 132-145 Avoid winners of a Pertemps qual = 94% Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-8 FR 6-10 IRE/GB Significant Stats: Avoid winners of qualifiers Winner analysis: Despite the stats throwing up Monmiral last year at 33/1, I still believe the stats are not as reliable as other races. That said, Feet Of A Dancer (12/1) and D Art D Art (12/1) have good profiles and meet the sig stat so I will play both small EW.  

Mares' Novices' Hurdle

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 100% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Season Runs: 1-4 = 100% Career Hurdle Runs: 2+ = 100% Days: 20-59 = 89% Distance: 18f-21f = 78% LTO: 1-3 = 100% OR: S.D = 131+ Mean = 138+ Best RPR: S.D = 130+ Mean = 138+ Significant Stats: Best RPR 129 OR 131 Distance 18f+ Winner analysis: Aurora Vega (10/1) and Sixandahalf (10/3) meet all three sig stats. I have backed Sixandhalf ante post so will add AV as well. I have also backed Karoline Banbou ante post, and she meets one sig stat. Galileo Dame (13/2) meets two of the sig stats and would certainly have an EW chance, especially receiving weight as she is only 4 years old.

Champion Bumper

Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 100% Bred: IRE, GB, FR = 100% Career Bumper Runs: 1-4 = 100% 1-3 = 92% Season Runs: 1-3 = 92% Days: 21+ = 92% LTO: 1st = 100% OR: S.D = 123+ Mean = 129+ RPR: S.D = 124+ Mean = 132+ Significant Stats: OR 125+ RPR 124+ Age 5-6 CBR 2+ Positive correlation between Pos, RPR (128) and CBR (2-3). Winner analysis: The mare, Bambino Fever (7/1) meets the four sig stats and the correlation, and I just wonder that if Patrick could have made the weight, whether he may have chosen her. Solid EW play in my eyes. Kalypso’chance (13/2) also meets the sig stats and the correlation and is another EW shout. The fav Copacabana lacks experience, but the yard did win this last year with a horse that had only one previous bumper run as well.

Grand Annual Challenge Cup Handicap Chase

EW Stats: Age: 6-11 = 94% 6-9 = 82% Runs: 2-5 = 90%  Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Bred: IR, FR = 85% OR: 136-155 S.D 139-149 Weight: 10-2 – 11-11 S.D 10-10 – 11-6 EW analysis: American Mike (12s), Martator (40s), G Medrano (22s), F Dike (66s), So Scottish (11s) and The King of PRs (8s) meet the EW stats. I have backed So Scottish EW so far. Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% 7-9 = 77% Bred: IRE, FR = 85%  Runs: 2-5 = 92% LTO: Avoid LTO winners = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 92% OR: 136-152 S.D 138-148 Weight: 10-2 – 11-8 S.D 10-8 – 11-6 Hurdles OR: Mean 130+ Cross Tab: Age/Bred FR 6-9 Other 7-10 Significant Stats: Avoid LTO winners. Winner analysis: So Scottish and American Mike have the best win profiles as well. I will add AM on the day when extra places are available.

Queen Mother Champion Chase

EW Stats: Age: 6-10 = 92% 7-10 = 83% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 92% LTO: 1-4 = 88% Runs: 2-4 = 87% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 88% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 97% OR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 165+ Season RPR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 167+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-11 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Marine Nationale (5/1) would be a popular and an emotional winner for all involved and has a strong EW profile. Quilixios (33/1) also has a good profile, and this race has thrown up a few strange results over the years. Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-3 = 90% LTO: 1-5 = 95% 1-3 = 88% Days: 21+ = 100% 21-60 = 85% Distance: = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 100% Chase wins season: 1+ = 95% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 100% OR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 170+ Season RPR: S.D = 165+ Mean = 171+ Significant Stats: OR 163+  Grade 1 Season RPR 165+ Grade LTO 1 Correlation between position, OR (170), Grade 1, SRPR (172), grade LTO (1) Winner analysis: Jonbon (10/1...

Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 87% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 98% IRE/FR = 87% Runs: 1-6 = 98% Days: 21+ = 96% Season: Avoid novices = 98% OR: 134-155 S.D 138-149 Weight: 10-2 – 11-12 S.D 10-9 – 11-8 Season RPR: 124+ BRPR: 135+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 5-9 IRE/GB EW analysis: A long, short list! Maxxum (16/1), Eagle Fang (28s), S Clegane (25s), S Fureur (22s), A Gasparo (16s), S Knot (50s), Impose Toi (9/1), and Bunting (12s) meet the general EW stats. Win Stats: Age: 5-8 – 93% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE/FR = 87% Runs: 1-4 = 87% Days: 21+ = 100% Season: Avoid novices = 93% OR: 135-153 S.D 138-150 Weight: 10-2 – 11-10 S.D 10-9 – 11-8 Season RPR: 137 Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: No significant stats however I have been looking into something else and found those horses with a BRPR 4lb above their OR is showing a minor positive correlation. Winner analysis: The horses above all meet the general stats except A Gasparo. I will...

Brown Advisory Novices' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 7-8 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 90% Runs: 2-5 = 100% 3-5 = 90% LTO: 1-2 = 90% Grade: 1-listed = 100% 1-2 = 85% Days: 20+ = 100% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 92% Chase wins: 1+ = 95% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 153+ Season RPR: S.D = 154+ Mean = 159+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 7-8 IRE/GB Significant Stats: SRPR 155+ High 161+ OR 155+ Winner analysis: Ballyburn (6/5) is the only horse to meet both sig stats and many people will be playing him in doubles, trebles etc throughout the week. Betterdaysahead (13/2) has a strong general profile for those looking to take on the short priced fav or looking for something in the without market.

Turners Novices' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 88% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 95% Runs: 2-4 = 93%  LTO: 1-2 = 93% Days: 21+ = 98% Hurdle wins: 1-3 = 95% Left-handed win: = 90% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 80% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 147+ RPR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 148+ RPR Race: S.D. = 146+ Mean = 152+ EW Analysis : I am really looking forward to this race as there could be some special horses moving forward. In terms of the EW stats and away from the front two, The Yellow Clay (6/1) has a good-looking profile and is unbeaten over hurdles.  Win Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 = 95% Bred: IRE, FR = 95% Distance: = 80% Runs: 2-6 = 95% 2-4 = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% LTO: 1-2 = 95% 1st = 85% Hurdle wins: 2-3 = 92% Left-handed win: = 92% Grade LTO: 1-2 = 77% OR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 148+ RPR: S.D = 145+ Mean = 151+ RPR Race: S.D. 151+ Mean 157+ Significant Stats: RPR 146+  Bred IRE or FR Positive correlation between position, Bred IRE/FR and RPR (153+)  Win...

Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle

EW Stats: Bred: IRE, FR, GB, GER = 97% Season Runs: 2-4 = 81% Days: 21+ = 94% Hurdle wins: 0-2 = 97% 1-2 = 83% LTO: 1-6 = 89% OR: 122-139 S.D 127-136 Weight: S.D = 10-10 – 11-7 Best RPR:  S.D. 114+ EW Analysis: Puturhandstogether (10/1), Holy See (25/1), Q Hill (20/1) and Teriferma (20/1) have excellent EW profiles. Win Stats: Bred: IRE, FR, GER = 100% Distance: = 91% Runs: 1-5 = 100%  Days: 21+ = 90% 21-60 = 82% Hurdle wins: 1-2 = 91% OR: 125-139 S.D 127-137 Weight: S.D = 10-9 – 11-7 Best SRPR:  120-140 Significant Stats: No sig stats Winner analysis: Those mentioned above and Total Look (6/1) have the best win profiles. I have just backed Puturhandstogether and will look at the others in more detail on the day.

Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy

Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 100% 6-8 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 1-4 = 95% 2-4 = 90% Days: 21+ = 100% LTO: 1st = 85% Previous festival experience: = 95% Grade: 1-2 = 85% Grade: Won a graded race that season =92% Grade run LTO: 1 - listed = 92% Season wins: 1-3 = 100% 2-3 = 85% OR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 166+ RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 167+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: Season wins 2+ LTO 1st OR 162+ BRPR 163+ Positive correlation between position, OR (167) RPR (171+), LTO (1st), season wins (2-3). Winner analysis: It is a shame Lossiemouth will not be running but even without her we have a cracking race to look forward to. Con Hill (8/13) and Brighterdaysahead (9/4) meet all the sig stats and the correlation (BDA adjusted figs for mares’ allowance). I personally will not be backing anything, just sitting back, and watching what will hopefully be a classic. Good luck if you do have a bet. 

Close Brothers Mares' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 6-9 – 91% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-5 = 95% LTO: 1-3 = 88% Days: 20+ = 91% Distance: 20/21f = 90% Grade: 1-listed = 88% OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 147+ RPR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 149+ EW Analysis : Jade De Grugy (5/1), Jetara (25/1) and July Flower (12/1) have the best EW profiles for those looking to take the fav on.  Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-3 = 86% Days: 20+ = 93% LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1st = 79% Grade: 1-listed = 100% Distance: 20/21f = 100% OR: S.D = 146+ Mean = 154+ RPR: S.D = 148+ Mean = 155+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: OR 146+  RPR 148+  Grade 1-3 Runs 0-3 Positive correlation between position, OR (154+), RPR (155+), runs 0-3, and grade 1-3.  Winner analysis: The fav Lossiemouth (4/6) is the only the horse to meet the sig stats and the correlation. Jade De Grugy does meet the sig stats and having backed ante post EW I am hoping to ge...

Ultima Handicap Chase

EW Stats: Age: 6-9 – 94% 7-9 = 85% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 87% Distance: 24f+ = 78% Days: 20+ = 91% OR: 129-155 S.D 138-149 Weight: S.D 10-6 – 11-6 Best RPR Race 142+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-9 IRE/GB EW Analysis : There will be plenty of bookies going extra places so shop around. Sequestered (20/1), Famous Bridge (18/1), Malina Girl(12/1) and The Changing Man (6/1) have lovely EW profiles.  Win Stats: Age: 7-11 = 94% 7-9 = 83% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE = 89% Runs: 2-5 = 94% LTO: 1-5 = 89% Distance: 24f+ = 89% OR: 129-155 S.D 137-149 Weight: S.D = 10-5 – 11-6 RPR Race:  142+  Significant Stats: LTO 1-5 Days 0-59 Winner analysis: The four horses above also meet the two sig stats and the win stats. Whistle Stop Tour (9/1) and Katate Dori (7/1) also meet the two sig stats and have good looking win profiles. Famous Bridge ran well for a long way in this race last year before tiring on the heavy going and looks a decent EW shout. The Irish have a terrib...

Arkle Challenge Trophy Novices' Chase

Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 6-7 = 80% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE, FR = 85% Runs: 2-5= 95% 3-4 = 80% Days: 21+ = 95% Chase wins: 1-4 = 100% Left-handed win: 92% Grade: 1-2 = 75% LTO: 1-2 = 95% 1st = 85% OR: S.D = 149+ Mean = 158+ RPR: S.D = 156+ Mean = 164+ Hurdles OR: S.D = 143+ Mean = 153+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 Other Significant Stats: RPR 156+ HOR 145+ OR 153+ Chase wins 2+ Positive correlation between position, OR (158+), RPR (161+), HOR (153+), & chase wins (2+) Winner analysis: No EW stats with only two places available. Focussing purely on the sig stats, Majborough (8/15) ad Jango Baie (7/1) are the only horses to meet them. The fav is the only horse to meet the correlation and I’m sure many people will be doubling him up with some of the other short priced favs on the first day. I will play the forecast for some fun.

Michael O'Sullivan Supreme Novices' Hurdle

EW Stats: Age: 5-6 = 92% Bred: IRE, FR = 86% Runs: 2-4 = 92% Hurdle wins: 1-3 = 92% Won on a left-handed track: = 78% LTO: 1-2 = 88% Days: 20+ = 94% OR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 148+ Best RPR: S.D = 141+ Mean = 148+ S.P: Mean 9s and under EW Analysis : Romeo Coolio (5/1) has the best profile for EW purposes. Others which have strong EW profiles include Salvator Mundi (8/1), Tripoli Flyer (20/1) and Karbau (20/1). The latter could be anything and at 20/1 at enhanced places could tempt people. Win Stats: Age: 5-6 = 94% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Days: 20+ = 88% Runs: 2-4 = 94% LTO: 1-2 = 94% Grade: 1-listed = 94% 1-2 = 81% Hurdle wins: 2-3 = 88% Won left-handed: = 82% OR: S.D = 144+ Mean = 149+ RPR: S.D = 145+ Mean = 149+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR/GB 6-7 IRE SP Mean: = 7's and under Significant Stats: RPR 145+ high sig 1510 SP 12s and under Positive correlation between Pos - RPR (145) and SP (7's under) Winner analysis: The yea...

Cheltenham Festival 2025

Welcome to this year’s Cheltenham Festival significant horse racing stats page. For new readers and followers, the aim of this blog is to provide readers with statistics and trends for most races and more importantly highlight key significant stats/trends that will help narrow down fields to just a few horses. Some of the races include up to 20 years’ worth of data whilst others, particularly the handicaps 10 years. By no means am I ‘tipping’ horses, just providing information for readers to use as they wish. I will highlight horses I will be backing or have already backed. Finally, if anyone has any questions or suggestions, please message me on twitter @SigStatsHorses and feel free to like or retweet. Key: Sig stat: In principle, a statistically significant result (usually a difference) is a result that is not attributed to chance. A statistically significant difference is simply one where the measurement system (including sample size, measurement scale, etc.) was...