Significant Horse Racing Stats

EW Stats: Age: 6-10 = 100% 7-10 = 89% Bred: IRE, FR= 93% Runs: 2-6 = 98% 2-4 = 89% Distance: = 93% Days: 21+ = 93% LTO: 1-5 = 86% OR: S.D = 156+ Mean = 162+ Season RPR: S.D = 160+ Mean = 166+ Best RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean 168+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 8-10 IRE EW Analysis : Conflateds’ (5/1) connections have said that this race will be the aim and he ticks all the EW boxes. He put up an improved effort last time out and should make the frame, 5/1 looks a fair price for EW punters. Fakir Doudairies (10/1) has an excellent EW profile and if he is declared looks a good EW bet as well. Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR = 93% Runs: 2-4 = 100% Course winner: = 87% Days: 21+ = 100% Distance: = 100% OR: S.D = 158+ Mean = 164+ Season RPR: S.D = 163+ Mean = 169+ Best RPR: S.D = 167+ Mean = 172+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-10 FR 8-10 IRE Significant Stats: OR 160+ High 166+ Season RPR 164+ High 169 + Best RPR 167+ Course winner Correlation b...

EW Stats: Age: 5-8 = 97% 6-8 = 91% Bred: IRE, FR = 91% Runs: 3-6 = 97% LTO: 1-4 = 94% Distance: = 94% Days: 20+ = 100% Grade: 1-3 = 88% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 151+ HOR: S.D = 138+ Mean = 147+ Season RPR: S.D = 152+ Mean = 157+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Just like last year, this race may cut up with few runners being declared, so it may be worth looking at some EW value before the final decs. The stand out horse with the most solid EW profile is Gaillard Du Mesnil (16/1) and he may be worth chancing with NRNB. Next best is Jungle Boogie (10/1) who has been well backed today. He is an unknown quantity and again is worth chancing NRNB. Win Stats: Age: 6-7 = 91% Bred: IRE, FR = 91% Runs: 2-5 = 100% 3-5 = 91% LTO: 1-2 = 91% Days: 20+ = 100% Distance: = 100% Festival Experience: = 100% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 151+ HOR: S.D = 141+ Mean = 149+ Season RPR: S.D = 153+ Mean = 157+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-7 FR 7-8 IRE Significa...

10 years of data only. Win Stats: Age: 7-10 = 90% Runs since Sept: 2-5 = 100% Days: 21+ = 100% Starting price: 14s or under OR: S.D. = 142+ Mean = 147+ Season RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 148+ Significant Stats: Days 40+ Winner analysis: Not a huge amount to go and the data for other variables are weak. The sig stat is vital and suggests a horse who has had a nice break and has been laid out for the race is important. Gordon Elliott appears to follow this trend and Run Wild Fred (5/2) has had a nice lay off, plenty of chase experience which is important and has a lovely profile, he is a horse I’ve backed ante post. Recently it has been prudent to focus on those horses around 16/14s and under as it very rarely goes to a rank outsider now. Stattler (11/4) has a good profile, a general negative however is his lack of chase experience, I would have preferred to have seen him over fences at least one more time. Vanillier (9/2) is another horse who has had a 40+ days in bet...

EW Stats: Age: 6-11 = 98% Bred: IRE, FR, GB, GER = 98% Runs: 1-4 = 95% 2-4 = 87% LTO: 1-4 = 85% Days: 21+ = 100% Grade: 1-2 = 87% OR: S.D = 159+ Mean = 166+ Season RPR: S.D = 162+ Mean = 168+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 6-9 FR 7-11 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Nube Negra (10/1) has a nice EW profile for the race and his price is reasonable. Some would argue he was unlucky in this last year having stumbled and needing to be switched at a vital time and if one of the front three under perform he should at least place. Next best is Chacun Pour Soi (9/2) and Greaneteen (25/1) however both have question marks. CPS has to prove he stays up that hill and enjoys travelling over, while Greaneteen isn’t a guaranteed runner, I wouldn’t put anyone off backing them EW if they fancy either. It is worth looking at the without Shiskin markets here as well and Nube Negra is 9/2, which again appeals providing the ground is on the good side. Win Stats: Age: 6-10 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% ...

EW Stats: Age: 6-8 = 93% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 2-5 = 97% LTO: 1-4 = 93% Grade: 1-3 = 83% Days: 20+ = 100% OR: S.D = 140+ Mean = 148+ HOR: S.D. = 132+ Mean = 143+ RPR: S.D = 150+ Mean = 156+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-7 FR 6-8 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Another race in which the general stats are a solid way to narrow down the field. Two horses have perfect EW profiles and I’ve backed both in the last couple of weeks, Ahoy Senor (5/1) and Beacon Edge (16/1). Both horses come into the race in good form, whether Beacon Edge will truly stay this trip I’m uncertain, but at the price I’m willing to find out. Other horses who have strong profiles include Farouk D’alene (16/1) and Gaillard Du Mesnil (20/1) and both are interesting if turning up in this race.   Win Stats: Age: 5-8 = 100% 7-8 = 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% IRE = 80% Runs: 2-5 = 100% 3-5 = 90% LTO: 1-2 = 90% Grade: 1-3 = 83% Days: 20+ = 100% OR: S.D = 142+ Mean = 150+ HOR: S.D. = 129+ ...

EW Stats: Age: 5-7 = 100% 5-6 – 90% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 95% Runs: 2-5 = 93% 2-4 = 88% LTO: 1-2 = 92% Days: 21+ = 93% Distance: 20/21f = 77% OR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 146+ RPR: S.D = 143+ Mean = 149+ RPR Race: S.D. = 147+ Mean = 152+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-6 FR 5-7 IRE/GB EW Analysis : Some strong stats appearing in the Ballymore which helps narrow down the field considerably. This race could cut up with some horses going elsewhere so there may be some ante post EW value in the market. The horse with the best EW profile is Ginto (9/2) and assuming either Sir G or DD go Supreme I can see his price being shorter on the day. Despite the assumption Ginto is just a big strong galloper he has shown speed in his races so far and seems to handle both good and softer conditions so I wouldn’t put anyone off him. Unfortunately, I hold a 50/1 ante post bet for him to win the Albert Bartlett so a late switch would be great! Journey With Me (6/1) is a horse I have backed ante post f...

EW Stats: Age: 6-9 – 91% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-5 = 94% LTO: 1-3 = 88% Days: 20+ = 91% Distance: 20/21f = 91% Grade: 1-listed = 88% OR: S.D = 137+ Mean = 148+ RPR: S.D = 139+ Mean = 149+ EW Analysis : A race to confirm OR’s when decs are out. Stormy Ireland (6/1) has the strongest EW profile and with her trainers record in this race, she looks to have a solid chance. She looks to have been rejuvenated with the switch back to Willie Mullins and her form is strong. Royal Kahala (13/2) has the next best profile however it looks like her target may be the Stayers Hurdle. Win Stats: Age: 5-9 = 91% Bred: IRE, FR, GB = 100% Runs: 0-3 = 91% Days: 20+ = 91% LTO: 1-3 = 100% 1st = 82% Grade: 1-listed = 100% 1-2 = 82% Distance: 20/21f = 100% OR: S.D = 147+ Mean = 154+ RPR: S.D = 148+ Mean = 155+ Crosstab Age/Bred: 5-9 FR 6-9 IRE/GB Significant Stats: OR 147+ RPR 148+ high sig 155+ Runs 0-3 Grade 1-2 Positive correlation between po...